US politicsOpen

If Trump is removed from office in 2028 and Democrats take power, they will probably imprison him.

Timeline Closes in 2.3 years

Timeframe after the 2028 electionWindow 2.6 years

Verdict Open

This depends on the 2028 election and a Democratic administration in 2029, so it can't be judged yet.

What he said

Let's imagine Donald Trump, he's kicked out of office in 2028. The the Democrats come in. What are they going to do? >> Uh, yes. >> Put him in prison. >> They'll probably put him in prison.
Read it in the transcript, in context →

More from this video

Predictive History

An independent scorecard of every forward-looking claim Professor Jiang Xueqin made on the @PredictiveHistory YouTube channel. Not affiliated with the channel.

Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

About · Method · Contact · Videos · Data

How calls are found and checked

Each transcript was read in full by an AI model to pull out predictions, with the exact quote and timestamp. Each one was then checked with web search against events up to the update date, with sources linked.

How the hit rate works

Spot a mistake? Report it. Hit rate = (came true + ½ partly) ÷ resolved calls. Claims that were already underway when he made them are left out. Open calls haven't reached a verdict; Unresolvable ones are too vague ever to check. Verdicts are AI-assisted and may contain errors.