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US politics

134 predictions from 54 videos, made between Apr 2024 and Oct 2026.

56%
hit rate on 18 resolved
6 / 8 / 4
came true / partly / didn't
98
still open
16
recurring calls
Came true56%Didn't happen44%Scorecard

Closing soon

Recurring calls

The same prediction, restated in 3 or more videos

All 134 calls

134 of 134

Trump will colonize/take over the Western Hemisphere (Canada, Greenland, Iceland, Mexico, Cuba, Venezuela, Latin America) and partition it among allies and corporations, though he says the effort will not ultimately succeed.

Partial moves so far. Maduro was captured in Jan 2026 (before this video), and the Sep 2026 Greenland deal gave the US military access without sovereignty. Cuba remains under blockade but has not been taken. Nothing has happened to Canada, Iceland or Mexico.

Open
Closes Jan 2033in 2288 days

Trump will use the narrative about China to federalize elections and take over the midterms.

Trump has signed election orders (March 2025), called for Republicans to 'nationalize' elections, and allies circulated a draft emergency order citing Chinese interference. I found no signed order that federalizes the midterms as of mid-October 2026. The vote is Nov 3.

Open
Closes Nov 2026in 18 days
Predictive History

An independent scorecard of every forward-looking claim Professor Jiang Xueqin made on the @PredictiveHistory YouTube channel. Not affiliated with the channel.

Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

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How calls are found and checked

Each transcript was read in full by an AI model to pull out predictions, with the exact quote and timestamp. Each one was then checked with web search against events up to the update date, with sources linked.

How the hit rate works

Spot a mistake? Report it. Hit rate = (came true + ½ partly) ÷ resolved calls. Claims that were already underway when he made them are left out. Open calls haven't reached a verdict; Unresolvable ones are too vague ever to check. Verdicts are AI-assisted and may contain errors.