43 predictions from 26 videos, made between Feb 2025 and Oct 2026.
The same prediction, restated in 3 or more videos
The election is on 2026-10-27, after the check date. The 13 Oct i24 poll had Likud largest at 27 seats but the coalition bloc at 57, short of a majority; other polls show Eisenkot's Yashar level or ahead.
The Iran war has not ended (it was an attrition and Hormuz crisis as of late Sep 2026). There is no Israeli regional dominance and no reported wave of multinationals moving headquarters to Israel.
Israel remains a parliamentary democracy holding a competitive election on 2026-10-27. There is no theocratic transformation yet. Deadline 2029.
There were public Trump-Netanyahu strains in mid-2026, but no divorce: US-Israel military integration advanced in the House NDAA in Jul 2026. Deadline 2036.
Israel is deeply polarized ahead of the 2026-10-27 election but has not fractured, and Pax Judaica has not emerged. Deadline 2036.
The condition has not been met: the Al-Aqsa Mosque has not been destroyed as of Oct 2026.
Five-year horizon (to 2031); too early to judge.
The Knesset election is set for 2026-10-27, after the check date. The latest polls (13 Oct 2026, i24) show Likud as the largest party but the coalition bloc short of 61 seats (57), so the outcome is uncertain.
Ties were already deepening before the statement: Modi's Feb 2026 visit raised relations to a 'special strategic' tier, with about $8.6B in arms deals. Further growth after Jul 2026 is not yet clearly documented.
As of 2026-10-15 the Al-Aqsa Mosque and Dome of the Rock stand intact; Temple Mount tensions continue (e.g. large Jewish ascents on Tisha B'Av 2026) but there is no move to demolish them or build a Third Temple.
The provision creating the US-Israel defense technology cooperation initiative (renumbered Sec. 219) stayed in the FY27 NDAA, which passed the House 216-212 in Jul 2026. Whether it commits the US to a 'forever war' is interpretive and not testable.
Mixed: the April ceasefire broke down in Jul 2026, and Iran struck US positions in Kuwait, Jordan, Bahrain and Iraq through Sep 2026. By late Sep, though, the war had settled into attrition with fewer strikes. The GCC states were not 'destroyed' and Turkey has not entered the war.
Israel had a record $14.1B in FDI in Q1 2026 and 52% growth in tech fundraising in H1 2026. These are tiny shares of global capital flows, so 'most transnational capital' is not borne out. 'Short term' is undefined.
So far consistent: the US remains in the GCC region in Oct 2026. However, the Pentagon was reportedly weighing a reduced Gulf footprint after Iranian strikes damaged US bases (Aug 2026).
The war is still ongoing. Israeli FDI hit records ($26.2B in 2025, $14.1B in Q1 2026), but there is no shift of the world's center of gravity to Israel and nothing near trillions in inflows.
The war is still ongoing. Record but modest FDI ($14.1B in Q1 2026), orders of magnitude below 'trillions'.
The war has not ended as of Oct 2026. As of Oct 2026 the US-Iran war (begun 2026-02-28) is unresolved and grinding on as a war of attrition; the US still has roughly 40-50k troops in the region, though in Aug 2026 the Pentagon reportedly weighed reducing its Gulf presence after the war.
The war has not ended. There is no sign of Israel absorbing the Gulf states' AI and data-center networks as of Oct 2026.
The war has not ended. Israel and Iran remain adversaries, and there is no cooperation on a new order as of Oct 2026.
As of Oct 2026 the US-Iran war (begun 2026-02-28) is unresolved and grinding on as a war of attrition; the US still has roughly 40-50k troops in the region, though in Aug 2026 the Pentagon reportedly weighed reducing its Gulf presence after the war. Israel is not yet regional hegemon. Deadline 2046.
As of 2026-10-15 the Al-Aqsa Mosque and Dome of the Rock stand intact; Temple Mount tensions continue (e.g. large Jewish ascents on Tisha B'Av 2026) but there is no move to demolish them or build a Third Temple. The Iran war is ongoing as an attrition and Hormuz crisis. The deadline is 2030; he staked his whole analysis on it.
Early signs partly consistent: Israel expanded buffer zones in Lebanon and Syria during 2026, and FDI hit a record $14.1B in Q1 2026 after a record $26.2B in 2025. There is no formal 'Greater Israel' annexation and no Pax Judaica yet. Deadline 2030.
The condition, a US exit, has not occurred. Israel and Iran remain at war as of Oct 2026 and there is no peace treaty.
As of 2026-10-15 the Al-Aqsa Mosque and Dome of the Rock stand intact; Temple Mount tensions continue (e.g. large Jewish ascents on Tisha B'Av 2026) but there is no move to demolish them or build a Third Temple. The deadline is 2028-03-10.
Open-ended long-range forecast. As of Oct 2026, none of Israel, Germany or Japan has emerged as an 'empire'.
This is a 50-year forecast and cannot be judged in 2026. Israel's economy is strong (Bank of Israel forecasts 5.2% growth for 2026, and FDI was a record in 2025), but it is not a dominant world power.
Pax Judaica has not come into being as of Oct 2026, so its fall cannot be assessed. Deadline 2045.
The precondition, Pax Judaica emerging, has not occurred, and there is no civil war in Israel as of Oct 2026.
This depends on Pax Judaica emerging, which has not happened. Open-ended and vague.
As of 2026-10-15 the Al-Aqsa Mosque and Dome of the Rock stand intact; Temple Mount tensions continue (e.g. large Jewish ascents on Tisha B'Av 2026) but there is no move to demolish them or build a Third Temple. The deadline is 2045.