86 predictions from 40 videos, made between May 2024 and Oct 2026.
The same prediction, restated in 3 or more videos
No US sovereign debt crisis or default has occurred as of 2026-10-15. There were only reports of tepid Treasury auction demand amid Iran tensions in May 2026. The window runs to 2027-01-11.
As of 2026-10-15 there has been no AI bubble pop, no OpenAI collapse and no nationalization of data centers. OpenAI reportedly considered offering the government a 5% stake in July 2026. The window runs to 2027-01-11.
There is no sign of banks collapsing or stablecoins displacing the dollar in global trade as of 2026-10-15. This is an open-ended, vague claim.
The IPO had not happened as of my research. Anthropic filed confidentially in June 2026, and investors floated a ~$2T valuation for an October/autumn listing. The outcome cannot be judged before the 2026-11-30 deadline.
The November 2026 APEC meeting has not yet occurred, so this cannot be judged yet.
This is an open-ended claim about US onshoring and automation; it cannot be judged as of 2026-10-15.
No Brazil-US or Western Hemisphere trade pact has been signed. Lula and Trump spoke on 2026-08-21 about resuming tariff talks (US tariffs on Brazil are ~25%), ahead of Brazil's October 2026 election.
The window runs to 2028-09-25. Hormuz disruptions have strained energy and fertilizer chains, but there has been no general supply-chain breakdown so far.
This is consistent with the current situation: the dollar remains dominant as of 2026-10-15. The claim is open-ended.
There is no Canadian recession so far. Q2 2026 GDP grew 3.3% annualized, and Q1 was revised from -0.1% to +0.3%, avoiding a technical recession. Economists expect slower growth ahead. The deadline is 2027-09-15.
The window runs to 2031. No Canadian financial collapse has occurred as of 2026-10-15.
This is a vague long-term claim. Canadian public pensions and healthcare continue to operate as of 2026-10-15.
The 5-10 year window has just begun. There has been no AI-driven economic collapse or mass white-collar layoffs as of 2026-10-15.
Oil is elevated (Brent ~$100-103 in early October 2026, up ~57% year on year), and FAO warns of food shortfalls into 2027, but no confirmed famine yet. The deadline is 2027-10-15.
This concerns 2027, so it cannot be judged yet. No extended US blackouts have been reported.
US CPI was 3.4% year on year in August 2026, with September forecast at ~3.6-3.7%, so inflation is rising modestly but not 'way up' yet. The deadline is 2027-10-15.
There has been no US collapse or dollar crash as of 2026-10-15; equities are at records and inflation is ~3.4%. The deadline is 2028-08-16.
There has been no AI or private-credit bubble pop and no hyperinflation as of 2026-10-15: US CPI was 3.4% in August 2026 and the S&P 500 hit a record on 2026-10-06. The deadline is 2027-12-31.
The dollar remains the dominant reserve currency and no global collapse has occurred. This is a vague, long-horizon claim (to 2036).
'The collapse of transnational capital' is a broad interpretive framing with no measurable criterion.
There has been no AI crash as of 2026-10-15: the S&P 500 set a record on 2026-10-06 and there has been no bailout. The 2026-12-31 window is still open but looks unlikely so far.
There has been no AI market collapse or bailout as of 2026-10-15. The only related sign is a July 2026 report that OpenAI was considering giving the government a 5% stake. The claim about actors' intentions cannot be verified.
As of mid-October 2026 the impact is notable but not 'unimaginable': Brent is ~$100-103, August CPI was 3.4% (September was forecast at ~3.6-3.7%), and stocks are at records. The window runs to 2026-11-30.
Brent rose from a ~$84 July average to about $100-103 in early October 2026 (up ~57% year on year), with a spike to $105 on 2026-07-23. That is a sizeable rise but not clearly 'skyrocketing'. The deadline (2026-12-31) is still open.
This is a vague prediction with a 10-20 year window (to 2046); it cannot be judged yet.
Already underway when stated: Japan's Middle East crude imports fell 67% year on year in April 2026, and it released emergency reserves from March. However, no rationing or 'previously unthinkable changes' were reported, and the resilience claim is vague.
No mass famine deaths or famine-driven migration surge to Europe have been confirmed as of 2026-10-15. FAO and NGOs warn of worsening hunger in the Sahel and East Africa from the Hormuz fertilizer and fuel shock.
No massive global emergency hit by mid-August 2026. Brent briefly spiked to ~$105 on 2026-07-23 but averaged ~$84 in July and ~$88 in August. US CPI was 3.4% in August, and there were no global food shortages.
The deadline (2027-07-11) has not passed. Early signs in favour: FAO and Mercy Corps warned that the Hormuz fertilizer shock (urea up 85% from Dec 2025 to Mar 2026) will cut yields into 2027, with Sahel acute food insecurity projected above 50M. No famine or East Asian lockdowns have been reported yet.
As of 2026-10-15 the AI bubble has not burst: the S&P 500 set record highs in early October 2026, and Anthropic's IPO plans imply ~$2T valuations. The deadline (2027-06-13) has not passed.