Society & cultureOpen

J.K. Rowling's books will not be read a century from now, unlike history-changing writers such as Homer, Dante and Shakespeare.

Timeline Closes in 99.8 years

Timeframe in 100 yearsWindow 100.1 years

Verdict Open

Can only be judged around 2126; Rowling's books remain widely read in 2026.

What he said

No one's going to read JK Rowling 100 years from now.
Read it in the transcript, in context →
Predictive History

An independent scorecard of every forward-looking claim Professor Jiang Xueqin made on the @PredictiveHistory YouTube channel. Not affiliated with the channel.

Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

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Each transcript was read in full by an AI model to pull out predictions, with the exact quote and timestamp. Each one was then checked with web search against events up to the update date, with sources linked.

How the hit rate works

Spot a mistake? Report it. Hit rate = (came true + ½ partly) ÷ resolved calls. Claims that were already underway when he made them are left out. Open calls haven't reached a verdict; Unresolvable ones are too vague ever to check. Verdicts are AI-assisted and may contain errors.