Emergency Discussion #1: Spain Wins World Cup, US Plans Ground Invasion of Iran

Good morning. So this is our very first emergency live stream discussion. There are two topics on the agenda. The first topic of course is the World Cup, which just concluded a couple hours ago with Spain winning one to zero. The second topic of course is the Iran war, which everyone is expecting to escalate. The tempo, the ferocity of the war is much faster, much greater than in March. What is happening right now that is really interesting is the Americans are publicizing the deaths of soldiers, the American casualties in the Middle East.

This is something that they refrained from doing in March. They said that only 13 died throughout those six weeks and of course that was very suspicious. And we've only been a few days into this war, but they are already reporting three deaths as well as possibly dozens of casualties due to Iranian strikes on American bases throughout the Middle East, primarily Jordan. Okay. So these are the two topics that we will discuss. This is the first of our emergency live streams. So I hope that this is as interactive as possible.

I'll be monitoring chat throughout. I prepared a brief presentation on the World Cup. As I mentioned in my live stream a couple days ago, I thought that there's a lot of evidence that suggests that Argentina would win it. I felt as though it was being rigged in favor of Argentina, but at the same time, I felt that Spain was the much stronger team. And I also think that my intuition told me that Spain would win and it turns out that Spain did win. And so this is really interesting.

So there are different possibilities for this. The first possibility of course is that I'm just paranoid. Everyone's just paranoid and this is not rigged at all and the world is not as deterministic as we once believed. Okay. So the first explanation is that I'm just completely wrong and my entire framework for understanding the world is just completely off base, and that is a very strong possibility. Okay, so that's theory number one. Theory number two is they rigged it up to a point, which is they wanted four teams in the semifinals because these four teams would draw the most revenue for FIFA.

They of course are Spain, France, England, and Argentina. And that's what they got. And in the finals, what actually happened? They didn't really care. And the third possibility is that they did rig it. But there's a problem with all this, which is that Argentina became too arrogant. They suffer from hubris and so they just underperform, right? So Argentina, and this is an amazing statistic, Argentina is the first team in the World Cup not to have a shot on goal in the first 90 minutes. In fact, I think they got the first shot on goal at the 120 minute mark.

So that's incredible to think about. Basically Spain just outplayed Argentina throughout, and Spain, because they had to face Portugal and France to get to the finals, were well prepared. They were extremely enthusiastic and they were determined to win. Whereas Argentina, because they were basically given a very easy path to the semifinals, the first tough team that they faced was England in the semifinals. They basically became lazy and complacent and didn't really perform to the best of their ability. Okay, so those are three possibilities. I'm not saying which possibility is correct. I'm just saying that these are all three different possibilities that we should consider.

So again, what I do is I try to develop predictive models, predictive modeling for the world. So it's always important to step back and ask ourselves what is our framework, what are our assumptions and what are our predictions, and try to analyze in real time how our predictions are turning out. To be fair to myself, I never said that Argentina would win. What I did say in the previous live stream was that if Argentina did win and if it was clear that the officials were rigging the game in favor of Argentina and if Messi were to score the winning goal, then I would predict that Messi would become president of Argentina in five to 10 years' time and that Argentina would become a major hub of transnational capital.

Okay. So that's what I said during my live stream. Just to be completely clear, because some of you are saying that I predicted that Argentina would win. I did not predict Argentina would win. I said that logically I think that Argentina would win, but intuitively I believe that Spain would win. Okay. So let me do a quick presentation and then I will open the floor to questions and discussions. Okay. So let me share my screen. Okay. So this is my presentation on the World Cup. First of all I want to thank Alfred who sent me a long email pointing out the problems with my analysis, and he's absolutely right in that I was making a lot of factual mistakes in my analysis.

Sometimes I prefer the sound bite. Sometimes I want to make this bold statement that goes viral. And this email reminds me that right now I'm pretty influential. A lot of people pay attention to what I'm doing. I need to be more nuanced, more balanced, more scholarly in my approach. So again, I want to thank Alfred for this email and I will try my very best to be more nuanced, more subtle, more balanced in my approach, because ultimately I see myself more as an educator rather than as a social media influencer.

I'm here to help people develop their own analytical models. I'm here to help people develop their own critical thinking skills. And that's what I want to do for the next 50 years. I see myself as a teacher of the world. I feel extremely privileged to be in this position. But I also appreciate that with this position, with this privilege, comes a lot of responsibilities. And so I apologize if I was misleading people in the past. So thank you again, Alfred, for this email. That said, I want to go over some things I found interesting about the leadup to the finals.

So the first thing I'll point out is, if you look at Polymarket, Polymarket had Spain winning at about 59% to Argentina at 41%. That's a very strong bias towards Spain and I think it's an indication that Spain was just a far superior team to Argentina on a variety of metrics. In fact, you have Ronaldo, the football legend, who basically said that Spain will beat Argentina easily because Spain will have ball control, and he's absolutely right.

He did say that Spain will have the ball the entire time. They have excellent ball control. They work well together as a team. So he's absolutely right and this is exactly what happened during the World Cup and that's why Spain won one to zero at the end of the day. That said, a lot of people were pointing out some problems in the leadup to the World Cup and I found these things funny. Okay. So we know the result. We know that Argentina didn't win, but there are some funny things that were happening in the leadup to the World Cup.

The first thing is the referee who was in charge of the World Cup final. He did have an altercation with the law six years ago, he was found in a brothel with cocaine, guns and €20,000. And there's actually a news report from Slovenia about this. This is on Yahoo Sports but it was translated from a news outlet in Slovenia. But this happened in the middle of the COVID pandemic and police conducted a raid against prostitution and they found this referee in the cabin and he ran away. He tried to flee on a boat and they arrested him, but after a few hours of interrogating him, they found he had no direct connection to a criminal organization.

Okay, so this is a really funny thing that the internet dug up about this referee. As you can imagine, there was a lot of superstition, a lot of divination in the leadup to the World Cup. This is an Argentine popular show and there they brought in a fortune teller to predict that Argentina would win the World Cup. Javier Milei, the president of Argentina, did not actually go to the game because he believed that him going to the game would jinx the team and so he sat at home and did all the proper rituals to ensure that Argentina would win the game.

You have two major celebrities, Conor McGregor as well as Drake, betting in favor of Argentina. Drake himself bet $1.5 million on Argentina to win the World Cup final. This is nothing to him, right? This is like nothing to this guy. But it shows that they are very supportive of Argentina. You have Benjamin Netanyahu meeting with Argentina's ambassador to Israel, a man named Rabbi Shimon Was, and Netanyahu expressed the greatest support for Argentina, and the reason why is, well, first of all, Argentina and Israel have become very close these past two years.

And the president of Argentina, Javier Milei, is actually part of the Chabad Hasidic movement. In fact, what's really interesting is that Milei's first foreign visit as head of state was to the grave of the Rebbe, Rebbe Schneerson, in Queens, New York. That grave, by the way, and this is really interesting, is the most visited Jewish holy site outside of Israel. So there's a very strong connection between Israel and Javier. Another interesting thing is that after Argentina defeated England in the semifinals 2 to 1, they unfurled a banner saying basically that the Malvinas, which is Argentina's name for the Falklands, belongs to Argentina.

And this is clearly a violation of FIFA's ban on political statements during sporting matches. And The White House came out with a statement saying, "Well, Argentina has a right to free speech."

After I finish discussing I'll leave the room. I'll open the floor to discussion. So if you want to have a question, please raise your hand. Okay. And I will unmute you. Okay. So again, Javier Milei says himself the Malvinas were, are and will always be Argentine. So this shows us that within the next year the Falklands become a major geopolitical issue. And this is interesting because right now the UK controls the Falklands, but the UK is really far away and there's something called the Donroe Doctrine, which is the Americans claim sovereignty over the entire Western Hemisphere.

So I would not be surprised if Argentina, in order to stir up national sentiment, were to make a claim for the Falklands and Americans would support this claim and there's really nothing that England could do about this. Right now Trump is trying to dislodge England from the northern hemisphere, that basically means two places, no, actually three places. It means the Falklands, it means the Caribbean and it means Canada, right? So basically Trump is just trying to claim imperial control over the entire Western Hemisphere and Argentina will be his proxy in order to do this.

That is my guess. Right now though there's a major problem for Israel in Argentina, which is no one actually likes them in Argentina. So, as you can see from this, right now in Argentina, you have a vast majority of people who don't like Israel. 55% of people in Argentina have an unfavorable view towards Israel. You have 21% who have a favorable view. And this is consistent throughout the world. There are only four countries in the world where Israel actually has a net favorable rating and those are India. India is the largest country, and in India it's who oppose Israel 32% who support Israel.

The other three countries are, and this is really funny, they're in Africa, there are Kenya, Nigeria and Ghana. Okay, these are the only four countries in the world where Israel has a net favorability rating among the population. The elite are a different issue, but among the population Israel is extremely unpopular. So, how do you fix this issue? Well, I think that if you're Argentina, the easiest way to fix this issue is twofold, right? There are two things you can do. First is you stir up a conflict with England over the Falklands.

Then Israel comes in and supports your claim towards the Falklands. I guarantee you if Israel were to do this, then the popular opinion in Argentina would shift radically towards Israel. The Falklands is a huge nationalistic issue in Argentina. We know because why else would the Argentina team unfurl the banner after the semifinals against England? So you know this is a war that happened in 1982. It took 10 weeks, and Argentina doesn't fight that many wars. So I think there's a lot of anger, a lot of resentment towards England.

So if Israel and the United States were to help Argentina reclaim the Falklands, then the Argentines would be very, very happy. Also, I don't think there's anything in the Falklands worth preserving, right? I mean, I don't even know why England fought this war for the Falklands. If England gives up the Falklands, it doesn't really matter that much considering all the problems that England is facing right now back at home. I mean, there's talk about a civil war that will emerge possibly in England.

So that's the first thing that can happen that would change the public opinion of Argentines. The second thing that could happen, and I think this will happen, is that Messi becomes president, right? Because Messi is a god in Argentina and if Messi were to become president, he'd be the perfect puppet. Argentina would just go along with whatever Messi wants and maybe Javier Milei or some other people would be behind the scenes pulling the strings. Okay, so these are my two predictions for Argentina given the situation in that country.

The first is that the Falklands will become a major issue in the next year and I think that Argentina will be able to reclaim Argentina with issue of the United States supporting them.The second prediction is that Messi will become president of the United States in the next 10 years. Okay. So that is it from my end on Argentina. Are there any comments or questions about this presentation before I move on to Iran? Iran will actually be the bulk of our discussion, I assume. But does anyone? Okay, Kitty here has a question.

So Kitty, just to warn you, this will be on YouTube, so if you're not comfortable having your face in public, just don't show the screen. Okay, I can hear you fine. So Kitty, can you please ask your question?

And that person, when making the decision, will never take into account what the other people think. Usually the other people at the table are more objective observers, right? So they can possibly make better decisions than people in the hand. They're neutral so they can observe how both are playing the game. But never in my life have I been in an instance where the actions, the talking of spectators influenced the decision-making of the people in the hand. In fact I think people in the hand tend to block things out. So I would say, yeah, in theory if I'm making these predictions then maybe the players in the game will take these predictions into account.

But in my observation of people, when they do things they don't really care what the observers think and want. They just focus on the game itself. So does it make sense, Kitty? Do you want to respond to that or do you want to ask a follow-up?

So I agree with you that a lot of transnational capital is flowing from Europe outwards because quite honestly Europe is hopeless. But this is not going to create tension between Europe and the United States because Europe is essentially a colony of the United States. I know there's been a lot of anger over Trump's tariffs against Europe. I know there's been a lot of anger about Greenland and possibly about Canada in the future and possibly even over the Falklands as the year progresses. But you have to look at exactly what the Europeans have done in response.

Okay, you have a lot of rhetoric. You have a lot of theater, but what have the Europeans done? Well, they've done exactly what the Americans asked them to do, which is basically up this war in Ukraine, increase NATO defense spending, and prepare the population for conscription. So I don't see at any point how Europe diverges from the United States. If Europe and the United States were really in conflict, you can imagine that Europe's best strategy would be to become closer with Russia and China, right?

To basically come to a rapprochement with both countries, because how Germany became rich was they basically had access to cheap Russian energy and then they converted that into really expensive manufactured goods like BMWs and Mercedes and sold to China. And now what's Europe doing? Europe has a trade war with China and Europe has a real war with Russia. So I don't see how the United States and Europe are in conflict with each other. Okay. Archer, did you have a question? And guys, I know there are a lot of questions, but could we please stay on topic?

I know a lot of you are interested in the Iran war, but we'll get to that in the next section. Okay. Archer, could you unmute yourself and ask your question, please, or make your Yeah.

So the only solution is population replacement through immigration. Okay, that's a strategy. So right now I think that you have lots of, well, I do know you have lots of IDF soldiers going to Argentina every year on a tourist visa to visit. Every year there's a billionaire, I forget his name, but he has a ranch in Argentina. He brings about 10,000 IDF soldiers for a summer retreat every year in Argentina. You have Milei signing trade deals with Israel. But the only way that Argentina can reach its full potential as a resource colony is if you bring in lots of immigrants.

And who are the most ideal immigrants to bring in? Indians. Okay. So imagine a situation where Israel provides the muscle, the IDF basically, and you have Indians coming in as energy, as labor. And look, right now India and Israel are like best friends. Modi and Netanyahu have become really close. The logic of this is really simple. If you're India and you want to become the next China, you cannot use China's playbook, right? You cannot have American companies come in and build up your manufacturing capacity like they did in China in the 1980s and 1990s, because first of all the Americans already did this and it didn't work out well for America.

But also India is a democracy. So it does not have the state capacity of China, where China can just politically will this into being. It can basically create these political policies that shift the people from the countryside to the factories. China also has a really good logistics network. That really is the key to China's manufacturing success, its logistics network, right? It's able to move people from the countryside to the cities. It's able to move supplies, move raw resources from all around the world to China and then export manufactured goods around the world.

So India cannot be the next China. Right? At the same time, India has a major advantage over China in that China is aging whereas India has a pretty young, vibrant population. So what you do is you basically move your population overseas, right? And this is already happening. You've got millions of Indians flowing into Australia, into Canada. And every time India signs a trade deal, it requires that nation to open up its borders to Indians. Okay. So recently Japan has signed a trade deal with India. I think part of this trade deal is that Japan also has to welcome Indians into Japan.

Right? So this is how India plans to get rich, by exporting its young labor overseas. And Argentina makes a lot of sense because Argentina is almost like virgin territory. Again you've got a pretty complacent population that don't really want to work, that don't want to exploit the environment. And so if you just marry Indian energy with Zionist capital, this will be an unbeatable combination, okay? And that's the idea. That's a plan to force massive immigration to Argentina to create this resource colony. Does that make sense, Archer? Do you want to ask a follow-up question or make a comment? That makes perfect sense to me. I never really thought about it that way before. I never really considered what the trade deals would look like, but that's a really interesting take and I appreciate the answer.

Thank you.

I don't invest in China either because the population is aging. The economy is in decline. Its geopolitical prospects are not that bright, right? Because China is an export economy and if there's a war raging around the world, well, that economy collapses. Okay, so I don't look at where everyone's looking at. I look at potential growth possibilities. All right, so that's the first point, criteria number one is potential growth possibility. Right? So where are certain places in the world where there's tremendous growth possibility? Well, Argentina is one place, right?

Because low population, lots of resources, really untapped environment. Okay, that's number one. Number two would be a place like Australia, where, yeah, Australia has a pretty advanced industrial base but it hasn't reached its full potential yet. Okay, so Australia is another possibility. Ukraine is another possibility but there's a war in Ukraine, right? Canada is another possibility but Canada's controlled by the United States. So if I just look at all these possibilities, I'm stuck with Argentina as the place with the best growth potential that is yet untapped.

Okay, that's criteria number one. Criteria number two is I'm looking at security, right? So if I put my money in a place, I want it to be safe and so I don't put it in Ukraine because the Russians can come and steal all my investment. Okay? And that's what's happening to BlackRock right now, right? BlackRock basically gave Ukraine a lot of loans and Ukraine gave them resources as collateral. But if Russia wins this war, that all goes to nothing. Okay, so that's the second criteria, security.

Argentina is good because Argentina is surrounded by two oceans. It has no enemies. It has a rivalry in soccer with Brazil, but they're not actually gonna fight a war because both are very large countries and they're resource rich. Okay. So they don't really need to fight a war over resources and there are no hostile powers in the Western Hemisphere. America controls the Western Hemisphere but America's far away, right? And for America to extend downwards to Argentina, that's a very long way.

America, the United States, is focused on taking control over the entire North American continent and that's actually enough for the United States. It doesn't need to go further, right? It plans to go down to Venezuela, but it doesn't want to deal with Brazil and Argentina, right? So in terms of security, yes. Okay. That's number two. And number three is my potential to co-opt the political system. That's very important to me because if I'm an investor, I need to rig the game to benefit me, right? I'm going to go and deal with a democracy.

I'm not going to go and deal with these crazy monarchs, right? Argentina, it's a democracy, but it's a pretty corrupt democracy. So I'm pretty sure I can influence the political system. Argentina is basically a corrupt oligarchy, right? So I know that I can use my capital to co-opt the oligarchy and bend them to my wishes. Okay. So if you think about it, only Argentina will fit all three categories. One is growth potential, right? Untapped resources. Number two is security. Number three is you can co-opt the political system.

All right. So you do these three criteria for any other place and you're like, well, it doesn't really fit, right? So let's go to Australia where you are. Well, okay, sure. Untapped market, lots of resources, fine. That's fine. Security, yeah, it's surrounded by the seas, but at the same time, China, Japan are close by. But that's fine. The third issue though is problematic in that Australia's a democracy and do I really want to deal with the native population? They could be a headache. Australians are notorious for being hard to deal with and I think that's a good thing.

Okay. But the entire population, I think, would be much more complacent, because ultimately if I'm an investor I want to promote mass immigration in order to fully realize the industrial potential of this place, right? So you can say, look, there are three major investment opportunities, Canada, Australia, and I think Argentina makes the most sense from the viewpoint of transnational capital. Argentina is basically the most ripe for colonization, for conquest. Australia, Canada, they're still part of the Anglosphere. They're basically resource colonies of the City of London.

So you have to deal with the City of London. Whereas Argentina, again, it's virgin territory. So that's why they're looking at Argentina. Does that make sense to you, HH, or do you want to ask a follow-up? Sorry, I'm almost sick. Yeah. I mean, that's a really good explanation, man. Yeah, I mean, we have the lowest positive perception of Israel on Earth. So, yeah. I mean, we're Aussies, you know, we're America's, but again, we're pretty self-standing, I guess. Yeah. So who is Milei?

Who is Javier Milei? And was his career engineered by transnational capital from the beginning or did transnational capital just sort of attach themselves to him because they saw a ripe puppet or product?

I mean he's basically like the Donald Trump of Argentina. He promised to take a chainsaw, famously took a chainsaw and just, you know, cut apart the Argentine bureaucracy that was holding Argentina back. And the other thing about Milei that's very important is that he's very close with Chabad Lubavitch. Okay. And I've talked about Chabad Lubavitch before. You look at Chabad Lubavitch, it's really interesting how they're connected to Donald Trump. They're connected to Vladimir Putin. They're connected to Donald Trump through his son-in-law Jared Kushner. The Kushner family is very heavy into Chabad Lubavitch and then you have Javier who is also associated with Chabad Lubavitch.

In fact, as I pointed out, Milei's first visit, first foreign visit as head of state, was to the grave of the Rebbe Schneerson, who used to be the messiah of Chabad Lubavitch. There are a lot of people within Chabad Lubavitch who consider him to be the messiah. Okay. So I don't have enough evidence to suggest that this is all a conspiracy but it seems to me an alignment of interest where Milei found himself in a very good position and transnational capital saw him as a good investment because ultimately at the end of the day transnational capital has unlimited financing, right? So it cost them nothing to invest in a politician and now that Milei has won out, well, now the relationship is becoming much more concrete.

I think the same situation will happen with Messi, right, who, you know, is a football star but, you know, maybe transnational capital sees potential in him and so they invest in him. I mean, that's also what happened with Donald Trump, where, you know, Donald Trump was the first original reality TV star. He was in the tabloids every single day and then there were people who were like, this guy could potentially be president of the United States. It costs us nothing to become his friend.

It costs us nothing to invest in his properties, right? So let's just do it. So again, these people think in terms of venture capitalists, where instead of investing in companies, they invest in individuals who could have a bright political future. And I think that was the case with Milei. If you invest in these people, one of two of them, you could get a unicorn. Okay. But essentially regardless of where he came from, Milei now is bought and controlled by transnational capital. He is doing exactly what Israel wants in Argentina.

Okay. So do you have any more follow-up questions, HH, before I move on?

You know, the real estate market has gone down but it hasn't collapsed the way that you saw in 2008, right? Whereas in America you have these financial crises all the time and I think it's because a lot of these crises are manufactured. So if they're manufactured, what they need to do is signal that a crisis is coming in order to basically cover their ass. Basically the idea is plausible deniability, right? So, you know, all the signs were there that this was gonna collapse and it was not manufactured, right? So certain signs I'm seeing that they're going to manufacture a collapse are, one, you have people saying that a collapse is imminent, right? So Andrew Ross Sorkin, who is probably the most famous financial journalist in America right now, he runs DealBook for the New York Times, the most influential financial journalist in America, and he wrote a book called 1929 and he's talking about how we are about to face a financial crisis.

This is a guy who spends every day with the leading CEOs of America and you only get into that position if you know exactly what they want you to do, right? So that's one clue. You also have a journalist named Ed Zitron, Z-I-T-R-O-N. And he's very good. I mean, I've watched his analysis. It's very strong. What's interesting to me though is how he's being promoted in major news outlets that are basically propagandists for the oligarchs.

So Bloomberg, CNBC, and he is saying that AI is a complete bubble. Okay, OpenAI cannot make money. It will never make money. And the collapse will happen very soon. Okay. So the first thing that you have is signaling. Okay. Then you have really prestigious institutions like the Bank for International Settlements, the central bank of central banks, coming out with reports saying that because of this war in Iran, because of disruptions to the global supply chain, you will have the collapse of the AI bubble. That I think is a very, very strong signal.

And number three is you have people like Sam Altman who are openly discussing that the American government should take a stake in OpenAI. And so you have these three things happening. I think what's happening is they want to collapse the AI market. The reason why they want to collapse the AI market is basically to consolidate their winnings, right? So you've got a lot of people investing in AI and a lot of these are retail investors. Once you collapse the market, then you can consolidate your winnings.

Basically transfer the money from the retail investors to your institutional investors. That's first. Second thing you can do is engineer a government bailout. So now you have almost unlimited financing for your data center rollout. Also the major issue with the data centers now is local opposition. But if it's being run by the government then you have things like eminent domain come into play and you can now quash opposition. Also these data centers consume a lot of water as well as electricity, right?

So you need government support, government subsidies in order to maintain these data centers. And the third thing is to basically consolidate the market, right? You've got too many players, you consolidate the market. And by the way, this is exactly what happened in the dot-com crash and in the subprime crash as well. After the dot-com bubble burst you had a few players emerge as dominant players and we became essentially monopoly such as, and Google, and then these oligarchs were able to consolidate their winnings, right? So these stock market collapses are often manufactured and they're often about ensuring that the oligarchs are able to consolidate their winnings. Okay, does that make sense, Hannah, or Yeah, I was wondering what incentive people like Sorkin would have to tell us about this, and I guess he could profit from the crash because he would have sold before, right?

But that never materialized because they recognized that America, the United States, was a better investment. Okay. So rather than the capital flowing to Argentina, it flowed to the United States instead. This is also the time, if you remember, this was the beginning of Zionism, right? So Theodor Herzl wrote his book basically on a Jewish homeland in the year and then the Balfour Declaration was, I believe, 197.

So this was during the time of the growth of Zionism. This is when transnational capital is trying to shift from Europe, the City of London, to the Western Hemisphere. But my intuition tells me, okay, and again I don't know enough, but my intuition just tells me, well, Argentina was at this time the Japan of the world and, you know, you had too many investments, you have too much capital in the place and there wasn't enough industrial capacity, there wasn't enough demand for Argentina, and so the economy collapsed basically. It was overheating. And I mean, another way to understand this is not all things are conspiracies, a lot is just fundamentals. So if you have a really strong government, if you have a really dynamic political system, if you have a really energetic population, then the economy will do a lot better. The reason why I think that they want to do population replacement in Argentina is they recognize that people who are religious, okay, basically the Hindus and the Zionists, they are going to work a lot harder to build your economy than people who are not religious. People who are not religious tend to engage in speculative behavior, like doing the least amount of work for the greatest profit, and people who are non-religious also tend to become very complacent, right, because they're not that motivated, whereas if you're Hindu or you're Zionist, you see it as God's will that you transform the land into a great nation state.

This is why the United States became so powerful, right? Because the United States was founded by Puritans, by these religious zealots. And this explains why Utah is one of the most prosperous regions in America, because it was founded by Mormons who again are religious zealots.

So if I'm an investor, I'm transnational capital, I don't necessarily have an eschatological framework, but I will invest in people who do because they will work harder than other people. Okay. So yeah, does that make sense, Dia? Or Yeah, thank you.

It is really the best performing stock market in the world right now. And so if you are a retail investor, you know, you're going to bet your life savings on the stock market. It's the same situation in Canada, where these past five years we've seen a huge surge in real estate prices and everyone was trying to jump into the real estate market believing, well, you know, there's only a limited amount of housing, you've got all these immigrants coming into the country, so yes, these housing prices can only go up, and so people engage in really speculative behavior. And again I think it's really a sign of society in decline, where there's desperation, there's anxiety that translates into an unrealistic euphoria for moneymaking.

People are engaging in speculative behavior. So rather than invest, people now gamble. And so we're seeing this in Canada and Australia with real estate speculation. We're also seeing that in South Korea with stock market speculation. So I just think it's a sign of capitalism's decline. I think that we are approaching the end times.

So the World Cup really does bring out nationalistic sentiment and I think the purpose of the World Cup is really to embed in people's imagination the nation state as the constituent element of the world game, right? So nationalism benefits transnational capital in that if people are focused on nationalistic sentiments, on nationalism, then that allows transnational capital to manipulate everyone behind the scenes. Okay. So transnational capital can invest in both China and the United States and then create this narrative that the United States and China are in competition with each other, which allows transnational capital to be a parasitic force on both nation states and draw energy from both.

So I think that's what the game is. The game is not necessarily to manipulate people but to distract people, to divert people's attention from where the real action is happening. Okay. So transnational capital is able to win because it's fooled people to believe that money is wealth, when really wealth is attention, it's energy. And the entire point of the World Cup as a spectacle is really to make people focus on the wrong things and make people think that they are a part of a nation state as opposed to being part of humanity, being part of God.

If we are to thrive as a species, if we are really to survive the coming crisis of the next few decades, we need to remember that we all have the power to create wealth from our attention, from our energy, and we also need to remember we are all connected together. And we also need to remember that we are all connected to God. There's God in us and we are part of God as well. And if we recognize this, then we can create a new future for humanity.

And so transnational capital, they're desperate to keep us focused on the here and now. They're determined to make us afraid and anxious. They're determined to make us focus on our rivalries and anxiety against each other. They're focused on making us think that money is the be-all and end-all. Okay. So I think that's really the point of the World Cup.

That makes a lot of sense. Thank you.

In America this was called Operation Paperclip and these Nazis were responsible for the United States space program as well as the space program of the Soviet Union. So this space race between the Soviet Union and the United States was not between the United States and the Soviet Union. It was between German scientists, Nazi scientists working for the Soviet Union and Nazi scientists working for the United States. Okay. And the reason why is the Nazis were the first to develop advanced rocket technology, the V2 basically. And so the Argentines wanted the Nazis for the same reason.

Not just ideological but because the Nazis had tremendous expertise in the political system, in finance, economy, in business, and they wanted that access. And you can argue this sort of Nazi influence in Argentina is still there today. If you go to Argentina you're going to find entire communities of these blond, blue-eyed, you know, Aryans. So I think Argentina takes tremendous pride in being very, very white, very Aryan, and they take tremendous pride in the fact that they were sympathetic towards the Nazis in World War II.

All right.

Okay. HH, did you have another Yes I did.

Why would you allow yourself to be abused like that for centuries? Yeah. So that's my question. You know, the Catholic Church, you said, okay, there's secret agreements between the rabbis and they are often scapegoated for all these terrible things. It's like, okay, well, you have messiahs, rise up, bro. Sabotage every. Why didn't every Jew say, "Okay, hey, screw it. To hell with the Catholic Church. We all die. We all die." Yeah. I'm a bit confused with that. Thank you.

They became decimated over time and during the Middle Ages there were still pockets of Jews around Europe and I think a lot of this history is not really fully appreciated. So I think that yes, there were a lot of pogroms, there were a lot of persecutions, a lot of scapegoating of Jews, especially in the worst economic times, but I would say for the majority of this history Jews were a lot better treated than people appreciate. Okay. So let me explain the logic here. Okay. So at the time in Europe, I'm talking about the Middle Ages, there are two main powers, right?

You have the feudal lords, the nobility, and you have the Catholic Church. And for the nobility the Jews are great to work with because as nobles you have certain problems that you need to resolve and Jews can help you resolve this issue. First of all, you need a captive managerial class, right? So you're a plantation owner, you need plantation managers and you need people who are loyal to you. Well, Jews are very loyal to you because you're the only one giving them protection, right? They're a minority in a Catholic area and these Catholics are taught that the Jews killed Jesus.

And so if you're a nobility and you provide protection for the Jews, well, these Jews are going to work really hard for you and they're not going to complain about pay and being treated better. Okay, they are very loyal and obedient and hardworking workers. Okay, so that's point one. Point two is at this time there's a lot of trade going on and you want to trade with the Islamic caliphate, right? Well, the only people who can allow you to trade with the Islamic caliphate are the Jews because they have networks in the Islamic caliphate.

Okay, so the Jews allow you to access trade networks around the world. And the third thing that's really important is Jews have access to financing. And Jews, unlike Christians, are allowed to be moneylenders and the best way to make money at this time is through usury, right? So as a Christian lord, as a Christian noble, you're not allowed to lend money to people at interest but the Jews are, right? So you get the Jews to be the scapegoat for you and again throughout most of history this relationship is fine. The Jews are able to accumulate wealth and they give you a huge portion of this wealth.

Jews work hard for you and Jews allow you to access trade in the Islamic caliphate. So from the perspective of the nobility, this is a great relationship. Jews put up with this because it allows them to practice their religion and allows them to stay together as a community. Okay. The Catholic Church sees Jews also as an asset because, and Augustine writes about this in his writings, but Augustine's point is if you are truly to get the Catholic people to appreciate the privilege of being Catholic, you need to create the other.

You need to create a people to show Catholics what happens if you give up the faith. And the answer is the Jews, right? So you create Jews as this alien other and you, you know, create artwork. You create these writings that chastise them, that insult them, but you basically promote anti-Semitism, but it's a controlled anti-Semitism, right? And so again, throughout most of this time, this relationship worked out well for the Catholic Church, worked out well for the nobility, and worked out well for the Jews. And then there are certain times when the nobility is so corrupt, when the Catholic Church is so corrupt, that the people rise up, in which case what do you do?

You blame the Jews, right? You divert their attention to the Jews. You plant spies, you plant agents within these peasant uprisings and you get them to direct their anger at the Jews. Okay? And then if things get really bad, what do you do? You expel the Jews from your land, they go to the Islamic caliphate or who cares where they go, and that makes people feel a lot better. Okay? And so you have this very unstable arrangement where, okay, most of the time things are working out great but in times of calamity, in times of famine, in times of like the Black Death, Jews become the scapegoats, and this is important for us to appreciate because the same dynamic could turn out today where, okay, it seems like Zionists and Jews control the world but they only do so as long as the ruling elite tolerate them, right?

And we have to remember that when things get really bad, if there's economic collapse, if there's famine, well, the elite is going to direct our anger towards the Jews. So this is a history that's not really discussed, but it's something that we really need to appreciate if we are to understand what might happen in the next 10, 20 years. Okay, does that make sense, HH?

Why would they do that? Because, you know, it's not like once or twice. It's like Like very serious, you know, pogroms and expelling.

So the rabbis are basically the aristocracy of the Jews. And in order for the aristocracy, the rabbis, to maintain power, you have to have Jews, right? So you create a situation where, okay, you explain to the Jews this persecution, it is the will of God and God wants you to be persecuted to force you to redeem yourself, to repent, to recognize God as the supreme authority, welcome God into your bosom, and then God will send the Messiah to you To you.

Right. So that's a cynical explanation.

Okay. So before, the traditions subscribed to an animistic or a mother goddess understanding, which is a belief in the balance and harmony of the world and that we are all part of the mother goddess and we're all part of nature. But Proto-Indo-Europeans are imperialistic in that they believe that it is violence that created the world, and so the most basic myth of the Proto-Indo-Europeans is, in the beginning they were twins. Okay. And then one twin had to kill the other in order to found the world, and this is a myth that becomes a template for, you know, the Roman religion, where Romulus has to kill Remus in order to found Rome.

It becomes the foundation for many religions, especially the Abrahamic religions. And the thing is, if you believe the world was created by true violence, you also have to believe the world must end with violence. And that's why you have eschatology. Okay. So the Proto-Indo-Europeans gave us both Zoroastrianism as well as Judaism, and over time both of these will become extremely eschatological. So that's my understanding of what happened. But what this means is the world doesn't necessarily need to be eschatological.

But unfortunately we're controlled by people who believe in eschatology, because as I said previously, people who believe in eschatology tend to be very violent people and people who are very violent will often be able to amass more power than people who are not violent. Okay. Kitty, did you have a question?

Because there might be things that are hidden in the open out there that we might benefit from if you were to look at it and if we had those discussions together.

So I would love to do it again. I would love to do a seminar on the Bible, on the Vedas, on texts that I would struggle with if I were to read them by myself but which I would be much more motivated to learn if I were doing it in a group. Okay. So thanks so much for that, Kitty. Weisslaw, can you unmute yourself, please?

And the logic is, well, you know, we've lost the young people. We've lost the global population, but as long as we keep the boomers, we're okay. And that's a fine strategy. But then, you know, you look at what's actually happening. And Bari Weiss is just incompetent, and the journalists working under her are just disgusted with her management. She keeps herself locked in a room surrounded by security. So she refuses to engage with the staff. So, yes, the Zionists, transnational capital, the Empire, they have all the power, but at the same time, it just seems like they've just exhausted themselves.

And they have a script in place, and they're trying to finish the script as quickly, as easily, as lazily as possible. And I think all this will collapse in their face. I think everything will blow up in their face. I think they're just done for. And maybe they're powerful for another five years, but I don't think they will achieve what they want to Yeah, I think you're right.

Maybe helping young people start to read books again. So just acts of generosity and kindness are going to go a long way in making a better world. I know it can seem insignificant, but trust me, it all adds up.

And you know, I've started to do a little bit more research on that and I realized that, you know, I know that there's a Shabbat com campaign that kind of takes Cabala in a negative way and it basically is their method of, I guess, urgency for their final goal is global outreach to get everyday people to execute physical rituals. So it's a mass of people that they want to get together to do the same thing. But then there's also the Ashlagian vision, which is, you know, their method of urgency is basically widespread education to change the internal desire of mankind by correcting their ego, and it's more of a promotion of a global society structured entirely on giving and unity, which is a lot of what you say, which is you should be receiving to give.

And I just wanted to kind of get your comment on that, if that's kind of how you see the world where, you know, you're trying to receive to be able to bestow on everyone else.

But the main idea is ultimately humanity is a whole and for a variety of reasons we've decided to splinter ourselves up into different fragments. And the other thing is, we humans are divine spiritual beings and through a very long process we've descended into the material world and we've turned hell into heaven, right? We've come down into this material world and we've adopted a more mineral mentality, you know, we basically prioritize the body over the spirit, and if we are to redeem ourselves, if we are really to achieve our full potential, we need to prioritize our soul, our spirit, above our bodies.

But it's hard, you know, it's so easy to just enjoy bodily pleasures like food and sex and wine and really hard to truly embrace spiritual pleasures such as giving to others, teaching others, being kind to others. And this is the ultimate struggle. So the battle of heaven and hell is actually all within us. So I completely agree with everything you said.

It really speaks to me because you see, you know, you spoke a lot about how China's education system is hopeless and you tried to change it but it's very hopeless. Can you talk more about how in the big cities, and I also see you went to Japan recently. I myself have been to Japan quite a few times as a tourist.

China, I think in recently 2023 in high none, there was a car that plowed like 30 people, but basically the country has a huge mental health crisis. I think what's happening is it's kind of like these are societies where they went from feudalism

And I think a lot of it is they suspect me, you know, I mean it's not just materialism, but it's also how materialism warps the imagination of people here. And in China black is white, white is black. So I mean I make these comments and maybe people in the West find me insightful because it aligns with a lot of people's intuitions in the West, but here in China people think I'm a. They literally think I'm stupid. They literally think that I'm just making this crap out of nowhere and I'm just bullshitting everyone and they literally believe this and this is an upside down bizarre society.

So I think it's much deeper than just materialism. It's also a complete lack of faith in God. I mean, I live in China. It's a godless society. And you know, I was in Japan and I think you're absolutely right. It's a fun place to visit. I would never want to live there because I'm not Japanese. You know, Japan is a very cohesive, very conforming society. And I think you're absolutely right that, you know, these societies in the long term, they will not survive.

If you insist on this materialistic godless worldview, then ultimately you're going to collapse as a society over time. And so even though there are a lot of issues in the West, the issues are a lot more stark here in East Asia, right? So you look at the birth rate, the fertility rate, that's the greatest sign that the people have absolutely no faith in your own society, right? When the young people absolutely refuse to have children. I mean, in South Korea I think the fertility rate right now is like 0.6, in Japan it's one, in China it's one, and I think in five years' time the Chinese fertility rate is going to be lower than South Korea's. Let me tell you a really incredible statistic. So I have three kids, my wife and I, we have three wonderful kids, and my wife, when she went to college in Beijing, she had like seven roommates so there's eight of them altogether, okay? And my wife is a lot younger than I am.

She's in her 30s now. And you know by now a woman should have had one or two children. Okay. So eight women and altogether collectively they have three kids. So only my wife has had children. All her other roommates, and these are middle class people, right, who do not have financial problems, they refuse to have kids here. So I think we are looking at really the end of East Asia. That's literally what I believe. People talk about the East Asian century.

People talk about the East Asian miracle. No, I think we are moving towards the end of East Asia. And I don't know what comes after this. Okay. So thanks so much, HH. So let me very quickly go to Iran, okay, the Iran war. And I'm going to share my screen now. And I want to be quick about this because I've been talking for almost two hours now and I'm getting pretty tired. But let me talk very quickly about the Iran war because I'm very troubled by what's happening.

Basically, what I'm observing these past few days is it's become a cluster. It's a dumpster fire now. I'm really worried about what's happening, guys, because it seems as though the Americans, the United States, is going to escalate rapidly within the next week or so. And people are talking about ground forces. So this is a map of what a ground invasion of Iran would look like. I have no idea who created this, but it seems pretty right to me.

They want to attack from three axes. Okay. Basically from Iraq. So they sent in Kurds from Iraq, they sent in the Baloch from Pakistan, and then you have the Americans trying to wrestle control from the IRGC because they're trying to control Hormuz. Okay, so this is what they might be looking at. This would be the greatest cluster in recent memory. Okay, it would be a dumpster fire. This would be an absolute catastrophe for the Americans. Okay, so let me go over why. First of all, there's no way you're going to get the Kurds to become suicide bombers.

Okay, this is literally what the Americans are saying to the Kurds. We'll give you weapons. We'll give you lots of US dollars as long as you send your men to die off in the mountains of Iran. And the goal is not to actually win against Iran. The goal is to draw out the IRGC so we can bomb them and make ourselves look better on TV. That's literally the goal, to have better PR, because right now the PR is just terrible for us. And the Kurds are basically like, we'll take your money, we'll take your weapons, but otherwise screw you, man.

So this is going to be a complete clusterfuck. Okay, there's no way the Kurds go in for the Americans, but I think the Kurds will just rip off the Americans. Same thing with the Baloch. Why are the Baloch going to go in and sacrifice themselves for the Americans? That's just ridiculous. The real issue is in Hormuz, where I think Trump has it in his mind that if you capture these islands, Qeshm Island, Kharg Island, then the Iranians would be forced to surrender, just as he got into his head that if you kill the Ayatollah, the Iranians would surrender.

So unfortunately what's happening is the Americans want to win this war as quickly as possible at as little cost as possible. And if you want to win this war, you have to invest like four years and two million troops. That's the only way. Okay. So this ground invasion can only be a dumpster fire. The good news though is I think they can't do it right now because it's too hot. They might attempt to take a couple islands. But a full-scale ground invasion, they have to wait until the weather gets cooler, which would basically mean November and ideally December.

Okay. So that is what the ground invasion looks like. What this is really weird, but whoever is coming up with these plans does not factor in Iranian topography. How do you send in forces against mountains? I mean, I don't understand what these people are thinking right now. Is the military leadership of America right now completely divorced from all reality? Why don't they look at a map and ask themselves, is it feasible sending ground forces against mountains? It's not feasible, man.

It just is not. This is why anytime anyone's attempted to invade Persia, it's ended in disaster. And the Americans want to do this in a quick time frame, right? Maybe in the next year they want this war to end. It's not going to end in a year. This is going to be another forever war. But right now what's happening, they're publicizing these deaths of American soldiers, these casualties. And when that happens, it just means the American military is preparing for doubling down on this war because you have to avenge these soldiers, right?

So the American military policy is leave no man behind. So if someone gets trapped in Iran, as these pilots got trapped in Iran a few months ago, you send in like 2,000 soldiers, get them out. Okay. Now, if you have soldiers dying in this war, you have to go and avenge them. So another really important map I will show you is this. You see how right now there are two choke points. Okay, you have the shoo where the, which is what's being controlled right now by the IRGC, but you also have down here the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, which is now being controlled by the Houthis.

The problem with both straits is you can't dislodge either the Houthis or the IRGC because they're all secluded in mountains. It's so easy to choke these straits. And so guys, this is going to be a complete dumpster fire. It's a complete cluster, this war is going to escalate rapidly over the next couple weeks. Already the Americans are targeting power plants and desalination plants in Iran. In response, the Iranians are doing the same thing. They're targeting desalination plants in Kuwait. And the GCC is done for. I don't see how this war now de-escalates.

I don't see how things don't become a complete cluster for the entire world. Okay. So I just point this out to everyone. Any questions or comments? Karina, sorry, I see Karina. Karina, do you have a comment or question?

You know, you feel like you're mandated to kill your political opponents. And you know, you see that especially in how they see the Palestinian people. They've almost just jumbled them together with how they see Hamas and Hezbollah and everything. That combined with, you know, the US's empire in decline and, you know, the US just being incredibly desperate to figure something else out because they have, you know, this ticking time bomb of debt on their hands. And then, you know, if you kind of see it as a Venn diagram, when you have geopolitical tensions abroad and then you compare that with the political tensions within the US with just the demographics in general, it's kind of hard not to see that the intersection between the two is going to be a sacrifice of the youth because you're kind of feeding one into the other.

You're feeding the, I guess, the unruly youth that are going to be upset about their country basically falling apart in front of them into this, you know, war machine. My question to you though is, when you have two partners that are completely unified in their respective missions, you know, with Israel having the fervor of wanting to, you know, kill the world if it means killing their enemies, they're set on, you know, Pax Judaica or the Greater Israel Project. And then you have the US that's completely set on maintaining their empire and getting control of these chokeholds.

I don't see how they're ever going to come down from that. I think it's either they're going to do it or die trying and we're kind of just the casualties of war.

I guess another question would be, how do you continue to learn more about this, teach more about this when you know that it's just widening your viewpoint on the disaster that's happening around you? Yeah. No, that's a great question. So, I mean, it's a very strange process where you start learning this and the first reaction is just anger at these people for their incompetence, for their lack of any human sympathy, for their callousness. Okay, you're just angry now. But then as you learn more, you become more depressed and recognize that this is the totality of the system.

And there's very little that you can do about it. And the more you learn, you're like, "Wait a minute here. If I know what's happening, that's a sense of empowerment. That's a sense of liberation. At least I won't die ignorant. At least I'll die knowing what happened." And then you look for solutions and you recognize that, wow, I'm not alone in my sentiments. You know, when I first started doing my YouTube channel, I had no idea that millions would start watching my videos. And that surprised me.

I'm like, why is this happening? Because all I'm talking about is how the world is ending. And I'm obviously also not doing it in clear English. I'm not articulate in the way that a lot of people on media are articulate. And also the production quality is just complete crap, man. It's literally me turning on the computer and then me doing a lecture for 40 minutes and then turning it off, and why are people watching this? And so I think this same process will happen with you, Karina, where you start writing these articles.

You start making these comments and then, you know, people come to you and say, hey, tell me more, and just the fact that people are interested in your ideas and people are willing to have a conversation means that there's hope for the world.

And so we're going to work hard to achieve this. So I think this is a process, and we're only at the beginning stage of this process, but I think that we'll come out pretty good at the end of it. Yeah, I completely agree. I definitely, when I, you know, started learning about this stuff, I think at the end of it, from the conclusion of just, you know, writing and getting back into writing, I just realized that I feel like the only real way out of this is for everyone to, you know, pick a movement and to do whatever they can to support it, whether that's with time or writing or financially or, you know, just, I mean I've seen comedians do their comedic standup doing it or singing or writing, or I mean I feel like that's really the only way for us to be able to get through this, is for everyone to stop being a spectator in it and to just Express themselves through their own, you know, vantage point, whatever they're good at.

What's happened is that the ceasefire, the failure of this MOU and ceasefire, has basically given a lot of power to the IRGC, because remember the Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, he was actually opposed to this MOU because he thought the Americans would not honor it, but he said that, well, I'm opposed to this but I listen to my advisers, I listen to the president, and so I agreed to the MOU. And the fact that this MOU has failed is basically making the hardliners in Iran much more determined to fight this war on an eschatological level.

Okay. So, as this war progresses, it becomes eschatological. Basically means a fight to the finish. No more compromise, no more ceasefire. That said, this will be a very long process. So it's possible in August there's another ceasefire for another few more weeks. But I think that the trend, the general trend, is towards a conflict where Israel wants to achieve the Greater Israel project. There are many in the American military like Pete Hegseth who sees this war as causing the return of Jesus.

And then you have the Iranians who see this war as leading to the rise of the Twelfth Imam who will lead Iran to total victory against the Great Satan. Okay. So the prospects are not very good for the GCC in general. But I also think that what's going to happen over time is this war is going to expand outwards to encompass the Caucasus, right? Azerbaijan, Armenia, and then it's gonna link up with the war in Ukraine, Turkey, Egypt, Saudi Arabia will be involved at some point. So we are in World War III unfortunately and this is just going to expand outwards over time.

Okay. All right. Weisslaw, are you here?

And then of course they're going to make money as the markets crash because it has gone up so high, the oil price I mean, with their put options that they probably already got in place. So that's when the markets crash and they've already sold their options and will profit incredibly quickly from the crash of the markets, and it sounds like this is where they're heading on a financial level, but then the whole Greater Israel and Pax Judaica seems to be the main factor as we're seeing sort of anti-Semitic sort of inquiries here in Australia, where it looks like they're trying to, you know, frighten the whole Jewish community to achieve that Judaica thing where the Jews are supposed to return back to the Middle East, too scared in the countries that they're in at the moment.

What do you think about Yeah, so thanks for that.

Meaning, you know, it's possible the global economy suffers so much that the global economy basically just collapses, which would just mean a collapse in global demand, and I would argue that's actually the main reason why oil prices have not collapsed, because China has been working very diligently to ensure oil prices do not spike, all right, because really China is completely dependent on the global economy, it's an export economy. If global demand collapses, China collapses as well, right? So this is an existential crisis for China in a way that it's not for anyone else.

So I would say China's in a lot of trouble right now. I think that people have lost control over the situation. Right now there's so much emotion. There's so much anger and Trump wants to win this war at all cost. The American military wants revenge for being humiliated so far in the Middle East. And I think a lot of things will happen naturally, but the idea that now you have these people behind the scenes manipulating things, maybe that was true a few months ago, it's no longer true today. Now I think it's just a complete dumpster fire.

And we'll start really feeling it later in the fall.

So we've really got to get rid of this mob rule as fast as we can.

This war in Iran is a forever war and the impact on the global economy, on our lives, it's something that we can't possibly imagine. Okay. But we will feel it very soon. Okay. So thanks a lot. Ron Fritz. Ron Fritz, did you have a comment or question?

But if the Al-Aqsa mosque were to be destroyed, accidentally maybe, then you would have tremendous anger in the streets, there would be political revolutions everywhere, and a lot of these people would look to Iran as their savior. So this would change the equation significantly.

They just blow it up out of proportion and they form it for engagement. But most people are anti-war. Most people are anti-empire. Most people are anti-greed, anti-corruption. And the solution is to find unity, right? To find love, to really start believing that you can impact the world for the better and try to find common ground that unites us rather than divides us. Okay. So, thank you, Brian.

Molina, Molina, are you Melina.

Okay, but the thing is, and this is really important, the Soviet Union was flat. Now imagine you pull this crap in the desert where there are mountains, right? It's very hot. So it's very easy for your electronic equipment to get overloaded, overheated. Your tanks, your equipment will run out of gas really quickly. It's very easy to get lost. It's very arduous to climb the mountains and it's very hard for you to establish forward operating bases, right? Places where you can rest your troops. So the idea that they'll just cruise through Iran is just nonsense.

Also, the American military was not set up to fight a long protracted war. They do blitzkrieg. They do quick operations. So think of the war in Iraq in 2003 where they were able to win the war in about two weeks' time. They were doing these thunder runs around Baghdad where they just sent in their Humvees and just rode around town for a couple hours and no one could stop them. Okay.

So yeah. So you have this American strategy that has been refined over decades of warfare and then the strategy does not work against mountains. Okay. Does that make sense?

So the war machine in America benefits a great deal. As long as they follow orders from Trump, they'll get promoted in the bureaucracy. So you have a ridiculous situation where for the first time in human history you have an empire which has a military bureaucracy that can never suffer any consequences for their stupidity and war. This has never happened before. Okay. All right. Roma. Roma, did you have a question?

All right.

That's a great question. My read on Trump's comments on China is it was basically just theater. Okay. He was not that serious about it. He's looking for any pretext to interfere more in local elections, right? To have more control over state elections. So he's basically building the narrative that will allow him to federalize elections, to basically just take over the midterms. That's the real intention. He doesn't really care about China. He cares about the midterms and he cares about power for a third time.

Although lately, with the beginning of the Russia-Ukraine war, Kazakhstan began expressing their basically discontent with Russia's engagement. So again I'm sorry to summarize, if these places are run by elites that kind of look out for their interest, turning to Putin, then turning to the US, allowing them to put their bases there, how do you think things can potentially play out if we expect things to pick up in the sense of World War III, and what can happen?

The problem though is that eventually these great powers will want them to pick a side and we can expect over the next 10 years a lot of coups d'état, a lot of political revolutions, color revolutions, a lot of political assassinations within Central Asia as China, Russia and the United States attempt to control the region for their own benefit. The reality is this war in Iran cannot be won. And so what's going to happen is this conflict is going to expand outwards. So a country to watch very closely will be Azerbaijan, right?

Because Azerbaijan is very close to both Israel and the United States. And as this war progresses, what Russia is going to do is reinforce Iran through the Caspian Sea. And so what the United States wants to do is create as much conflict in that region as possible. Kazakhstan is also very important. Central Asia is very important because how China will supply Iran is through the railway system, right? So transport goods from China across Central Asia to Iran. And so the Americans will want to disrupt this. So it would be a great game again.

And you'll have the United States trying to create as much chaos in Central Asia as possible in order to blockade, to isolate Iran. Okay. So that's what I think is going to happen. Okay. Thank you. Oz, are you here?

It can lob missiles into Japan. So the United States has no choice but to deal with South Korea now, but to deal with North Korea now, right? So that's what would happen. I think this will happen naturally anyway. But if it's clear that this operation is going too well, then North Korea takes the stage.

Basically Russia would have infinite financing from China and then China would have infinite financing from, sorry, infinite energy from Russia. But this would tie the destinies of these two countries together. The fact that China is not signing this deal means that basically Russia is alone on the world stage. The alliance between China and Russia, it's all theater. It's not really taking place. And so Russia, if it were to retreat from Ukraine, if Iran were to fall, Russia would be dead in 20 years' time. There'll be no hope for Russia.

It'd be completely isolated in the world. So it cannot afford for Iran to fall. Iran is the ultimate battle, the final battle for Russia. Okay. And that's why North Korea will have to take the stage.

Okay. So Roma, ask your question and that'll be it.

So my impression from observing Russian reality firsthand for decades is that the Russian leader never had any plan or vision other than stealing as much money as possible and spending it on luxury, which would make him similar to many world leaders really, and the war, which is really a war with Ukraine, is the only, I think, unfortunate exception to the absence of his vision. I would say Okay, thanks so much for that.

He does know what he's doing. Of all the world leaders that I've seen, I think that only Putin seems to know what he's doing. I'm able to actually predict what he does because he's very strategic. He's very long-term thinking. So I think that North Korea will come into play soon, because if I'm Putin, that's the next logical step, to extend the war to East Asia, which will then put more pressure on the American military. I will also say, and you and I will have to disagree, that I do think Putin does love his country.

I think Putin loves his country and I think Putin loves his people. The way he does it is something that you and I may disagree with, but I think he's genuine in his love for Russia. Okay, so I will leave it there, guys. So, thanks so much for today. It was a lot of fun and if there's another breaking news, then I'll do another live stream. Okay, so thanks so much, guys, and I will see you next time.