All societies, including today's, will eventually collapse because of elite overproduction and rent-seeking; no society can be made permanently stable.

Said Oct 8, 2024 in Civilization #6: Elite Overproduction and the Bronze Age Collapse @ 37:31

Timeline No deadline given

Timeframe unspecifiedSaid again 13×

Verdict Unresolvable

A general theory that all societies eventually collapse, with no timeframe; not checkable.

What he said

All societies will do this at some point. No society is stable.

Read it in the transcript, in context →

He keeps saying this

Restated in 12 videos as Modern Western society is headed for collapse

Oct 112026

UnresolvableDeadline Oct 2036

The next 10 years will be a turning point, ending in one of three outcomes: AI people win and become new masters, social collapse from the elite war, or a messianic-age cataclysm.

⋯ 56 days earlier

Aug 162026

UnresolvableDeadline Aug 2036

We are heading toward a calamity beyond anyone's imagination.

⋯ 49 days earlier

Jun 282026

UnresolvableDeadline Jun 2076

The next roughly 50 years will be very bad for humanity, with war, revolution and complete chaos.

Jun 232026

Unresolvable

Contemporary Western/Chinese society, sharing Florence's traits (factionalism, meritocratic pressure, inequality, fraud, collapsing institutional trust), is in decline and headed for serious trouble.

May 282026

Unresolvable

The people in charge are playing a crazy game that will probably lead to the end of the world.

⋯ 7 months earlier

Nov 62025

Unresolvable

The world is heading toward a general decline or collapse.

All societies, including today's, will eventually collapse because of elite overproduction and rent-seeking; no society can be made permanently stable.

Timeline No deadline given

Verdict Unresolvable

What he said

He keeps saying this

More from this video

Modern financialized economies, where capital grows faster than the real economy and wealth is put into speculation and passive income, will eventually suffer social collapse.