Iran & Middle EastCame true

The ceasefire will not hold; the US, Israel and Iran remain fully committed to war.

Timeline Resolved 8 months after he said it

Timeframe unspecifiedSaid again 26×

Verdict Came true

The ceasefire of 24 June 2025 held for about eight months, then the US and Israel restarted full-scale war on 28 Feb 2026. Later truces in 2026 also broke down (July 8).

What he said

I still believe that the United States, Israel, and Iran are fully committed to war.
Read it in the transcript, in context →

He keeps saying this

Restated in 18 videos as The Iran war will never end in peace

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Israel

Israel will achieve its ambition of restoring the Kingdom of David and dominating the Middle East, helped by Christian Zionists in the American elite, with the American empire destroyed and leaving the Middle East.

There is no restoration of a 'Kingdom of David' and no US exit from the Middle East as of Oct 2026. Israel holds expanded buffer zones in Lebanon, Syria and Gaza, but there has been no formal annexation. Open-ended.

Open
Said Jun 25, 2025no deadline
Predictive History

An independent scorecard of every forward-looking claim Professor Jiang Xueqin made on the @PredictiveHistory YouTube channel. Not affiliated with the channel.

Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

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Each transcript was read in full by an AI model to pull out predictions, with the exact quote and timestamp. Each one was then checked with web search against events up to the update date, with sources linked.

How the hit rate works

Spot a mistake? Report it. Hit rate = (came true + ½ partly) ÷ resolved calls. Claims that were already underway when he made them are left out. Open calls haven't reached a verdict; Unresolvable ones are too vague ever to check. Verdicts are AI-assisted and may contain errors.