Recurring call · Iran & Middle East

The Iran war will never end in peace

From mid-2025 he insists every US-Iran ceasefire or negotiation is theater that will collapse, because neither side can accept a settlement. Over 2026 this hardens into a forecast of a forever war lasting 10 to 20 years.

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hit rate on 14 resolved

Feb 2025 → Aug 2026

first and latest time

Times said27Resolved14Scorecard

Moving the goalposts?

When he said it (left to right) against the deadline he gave (bottom to top). A rising path means the date keeps getting pushed back.

202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362026today

Every time he said it

Aug 162026

OpenDeadline Aug 2036

The Iran war will never end because it is a conflict between capital and religion.

Jul 202026

OpenDeadline Jul 2027

The Iran war will not end within a year and will become another forever war.

Jul 202026

Didn't happenDeadline Aug 2026

The Iran war will escalate rapidly over the next couple of weeks and will not de-escalate; the GCC is done for.

Jul 202026

PartlyDeadline Aug 2026

Another ceasefire in the Iran war may occur in August lasting a few weeks, but the general trend is toward an eschatological fight to the finish.

Jul 182026

OpenDeadline Jul 2036

The US-Iran war will be endless, lasting 10 to 20 years.

Jul 112026

Came trueDeadline Oct 2026

Over the next two to three months the US-Iran conflict will alternate between bursts of intense warfare and nominal ceasefires.

Jun 132026

Came trueDeadline Sep 2026

A US-Iran MOU may be signed but will not last, since the US cannot accept covering all proxies.

Jun 132026

Open

Peace between the US and Iran is not possible.

Jun 72026

Unresolvable

Section 224 will lock America into a forever war in the Middle East alongside Israel.

May 142026

Partly

The war in the Middle East will only increase.

May 72026

OpenDeadline May 2036

The conflict among the US, Israel, Iran and Russia will drive geopolitics for the next 5 to 10 years and none of them will win.

May 72026

Open

Peace will not come when Trump leaves office or the US divorces Israel, because the war is driven by internal tensions within the four nations.

May 72026

Open

Iran will never surrender in the war with the US and Israel no matter how bad it gets.

Apr 282026

PartlyDeadline May 2026

The US-Iran ceasefire will not hold; the war will resume within a week, two weeks or a month because no mutually satisfying arrangement is possible.

Apr 212026

OpenDeadline Apr 2036

The Iran war will not end with the Islamabad negotiations; it will last years and possibly 10 to 20 years.

Apr 212026

Came true

The ceasefire may produce a peace treaty but the war will not end.

Apr 212026

Open

The US will never stop attacking Iran because Iran is the key to Russia's North-South corridor and China's Belt and Road.

Apr 92026

PartlyDeadline Apr 2026

The two-week US-Iran ceasefire will not hold; it is only a PR stunt and will lead to nothing, and the Pakistan negotiations will go nowhere.

Apr 92026

Didn't happen

Because of Iran's mosaic defense, the war can only end if Iran or America is defeated; Iran cannot implement a ceasefire without civil war among its provincial units.

Apr 72026

Open

Both US and Iran will achieve their own strategic objectives (America out of the Middle East, Israel humbled, global economy destroyed, Iran Balkanized and bombed to the Stone Age), and because both think they are winning, a negotiated peace settlement is impossible.

Mar 242026

Came trueDeadline Sep 2026

A quick US-Iran peace deal, or both sides exhausting themselves in 5-6 months so things return to normal, will not happen.

Mar 192026

Didn't happen

With Larijani assassinated, there is no off-ramp: a ceasefire is almost impossible and the war will be fought to the bitter end.

Mar 172026

Didn't happen

There will be no ceasefire, truce or peace between the US and Iran because both are fighting over the structure of reality itself.

Mar 32026

Came trueDeadline Mar 2028

The US-Israel war on Iran (World War III) will last many weeks and possibly many years.

Mar 32026

Unresolvable

A long-lasting global Shia jihad against the American empire will continue.

⋯ 8 months earlier

Jun 252025

Came true

The ceasefire will not hold; the US, Israel and Iran remain fully committed to war.

⋯ 4 months earlier

Feb 182025

Open

The Middle East war will expand to engulf the entire world and cannot be ended by negotiation until it runs its course.