War & WWIIIOpen

A European blockade of Russia's Kaliningrad exclave could trigger Russian intervention and start World War III.

Timeline No deadline given

Timeframe unspecifiedSaid again 9×

Verdict Open

This is a conditional scenario. No European blockade of Kaliningrad has been found as of Oct 2026; the nearest precedent is Lithuania's partial transit restrictions in 2022. Note that web search was limited during this check.

What he said

So this could be the start of World War III right here.
Read it in the transcript, in context →

He keeps saying this

Restated in 9 videos as Europe will go to war with Russia

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Predictive History

An independent scorecard of every forward-looking claim Professor Jiang Xueqin made on the @PredictiveHistory YouTube channel. Not affiliated with the channel.

Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

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Each transcript was read in full by an AI model to pull out predictions, with the exact quote and timestamp. Each one was then checked with web search against events up to the update date, with sources linked.

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Spot a mistake? Report it. Hit rate = (came true + ½ partly) ÷ resolved calls. Claims that were already underway when he made them are left out. Open calls haven't reached a verdict; Unresolvable ones are too vague ever to check. Verdicts are AI-assisted and may contain errors.