No Western government has eliminated cash. In the US, Trump's Jan 2025 executive order barred work on a retail CBDC, while the EU's digital euro is still being legislated with cash kept as legal tender. Early signs point against.
No major US or Canadian public pension system has gone bankrupt. Social Security's trust fund is projected to deplete around 2033-34, which would cut benefits to roughly 77-81% rather than end them, and the CPP is rated sustainable by its Chief Actuary. The window runs to 2035.
Deadline 2065; cannot be judged yet. Canada cut permanent-resident targets to 395k (2025), 380k (2026) and 365k (2027) from a planned 500k, which cuts against the trend.
Anti-immigrant protests did grow: 'March for Australia' rallies turned violent days after the video (31 Aug 2025), and the 13 Sept 2025 Unite the Kingdom rally in London drew up to 150,000 (26 officers injured). But Canada cut permanent-resident targets (500k planned to 395k in 2025, 380k in 2026, 365k in 2027), so immigrant shares are not simply rising everywhere.
Online safety and age-verification rules are spreading (Australia's under-16 social media ban from 10 Dec 2025; EU and French measures), but Canada's Online Harms Act died in Jan 2025 and the US has not followed, so it has not passed 'everywhere'. Early signs partly for.
No mass surveillance microchip implants exist as of Oct 2026; brain implants such as Neuralink remain small medical trials. Open-ended, could still happen.
This is an open-ended trend claim. Pension and old-age spending keep growing as a share of budgets, and the US cut Medicaid in 2025 while protecting Social Security, but no clear, explicit diversion of school or health funds into pensions has been documented.
Deadline 2100. The 100-million target is the private Century Initiative's, not an official government plan, and Ottawa cut permanent-resident targets to 395k/380k/365k for 2025-27.