Home/Society & culture/Recurring call
Recurring call · Society & culture

Rule by the old will sacrifice the young

He argues that aging Western societies run by baby boomers will drain resources to the elderly, bankrupt pension systems within 5-10 years, and send the young to die in wars.

7
videos
11
separate calls
Open
0 resolved so far
Aug 2025 → Oct 2026
first and latest time
Times said11Resolved0Scorecard

Moving the goalposts?

When he said it (left to right) against the deadline he gave (bottom to top). A rising path means the date keeps getting pushed back.

2026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462026today

Every time he said it

Predictive History

An independent scorecard of every forward-looking claim Professor Jiang Xueqin made on the @PredictiveHistory YouTube channel. Not affiliated with the channel.

Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

About · Method · Contact · Videos · Data

How calls are found and checked

Each transcript was read in full by an AI model to pull out predictions, with the exact quote and timestamp. Each one was then checked with web search against events up to the update date, with sources linked.

How the hit rate works

Spot a mistake? Report it. Hit rate = (came true + ½ partly) ÷ resolved calls. Claims that were already underway when he made them are left out. Open calls haven't reached a verdict; Unresolvable ones are too vague ever to check. Verdicts are AI-assisted and may contain errors.