Timeframe 2 to 6 years (2026-2030)Window 6.0 yearsSaid again 26×
Verdict Open
The US has been at war with Iran since 28 Feb 2026, but only by air and sea, with no invasion so far. Plans for ground operations (such as seizing Kharg Island) and a buildup of about 17,000 troops were reported in March 2026. The window runs to 2030.
Open-ended. Early signs are mixed to against: polling since 2024 (e.g., Pew 2025) shows younger Republicans and evangelicals growing less favorable to Israel, though Christian Zionism remains influential in the Trump administration. This was not re-verified with fresh 2026 data due to search limits.