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Recurring call · Iran & Middle East

The US will launch a ground invasion of Iran

He predicts US ground troops will invade Iran, often because Iran (or Israel, Putin or Christian Zionists) deliberately draws America in. The timing keeps moving: two to six years (2024), the next few months (2025), the following weekend or within April (spring 2026), then October to December 2026.

20
videos
27
separate calls
9%
hit rate on 11 resolved
May 2024 → Jul 2026
first and latest time
Times said27Resolved11Scorecard

Moving the goalposts?

When he said it (left to right) against the deadline he gave (bottom to top). A rising path means the date keeps getting pushed back.

20252026202720282029203020252026today

Every time he said it

Predictive History

An independent scorecard of every forward-looking claim Professor Jiang Xueqin made on the @PredictiveHistory YouTube channel. Not affiliated with the channel.

Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

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How calls are found and checked

Each transcript was read in full by an AI model to pull out predictions, with the exact quote and timestamp. Each one was then checked with web search against events up to the update date, with sources linked.

How the hit rate works

Spot a mistake? Report it. Hit rate = (came true + ½ partly) ÷ resolved calls. Claims that were already underway when he made them are left out. Open calls haven't reached a verdict; Unresolvable ones are too vague ever to check. Verdicts are AI-assisted and may contain errors.