Recurring call · War & WWIII

Globalization will collapse like the Bronze Age

He compares today's interconnected economy to the Bronze Age and pre-1914 worlds and predicts it will break apart into regional blocs as supply chains fail. The forecast becomes more imminent in 2026, with a breakdown said to come within a year or two.

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Nov 2025 → Sep 2026

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Moving the goalposts?

When he said it (left to right) against the deadline he gave (bottom to top). A rising path means the date keeps getting pushed back.

2026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462026today

Every time he said it

Sep 252026

OpenDeadline Sep 2028

Global supply chains will break down within a year or two, causing complete chaos akin to the Bronze Age collapse.

Sep 152026

Unresolvable

The gradual collapse of everything called civilization will occur, including the breakdown of global trade and widespread violence.

Aug 12026

OpenDeadline Aug 2046

The professional managerial class will be first to die out in coming revolutions and AI will replace them; global cities like Singapore, Dubai and Hong Kong will cease to exist once globalization ends.

⋯ 49 days earlier

Jun 132026

Open

Singapore and Ireland will suffer badly as global trade declines and deglobalization proceeds.

⋯ 2 months earlier

Apr 92026

Open

The global economy will fracture because no nation is willing to take on the cost of being the global reserve currency; no one will replace America.

Apr 92026

Open

The age of globalization is over, and Chinese students studying in the US for a degree and a job back home will end.

Mar 242026

OpenDeadline Mar 2046

With the end of Pax Americana the world will fragment into regional mercantilist trading blocks with much more limited global trade.

Mar 242026

OpenDeadline Mar 2046

Over the next 10-20 years: deindustrialization and deurbanization, remilitarization and nationalism, resource wars, famines, genocides and slavery.

Mar 242026

OpenDeadline Mar 2046

The nation-state system will break apart into more resilient communities, possibly city-states, with constantly shifting alliances.

⋯ 5 months earlier

Nov 42025

Unresolvable

The modern globalized capitalist world will eventually collapse, just as the Bronze Age system did, because of the nature of capital.

Nov 42025

Unresolvable

Like the globalized world before World War I, today's heavily interconnected world will probably 'fall off the edge' into a large-scale catastrophe at some point.