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Game Theory #17: The Great Reset

Mar 31, 202658 min7,920 words · 34 min readYouTube

Edited for reading: misheard names and places corrected, punctuation restored, and stutters, false starts and filler removed, with his wording otherwise kept. The edit was made with AI assistance; switch to the original captions to compare. Highlighted passages are predictions we track.

Today, I want to look at how the global economy will collapse. Specifically, how the US economy will collapse because of this war. Now, the argument I want to make to you today is that financial collapses do not happen accidentally or naturally. They have to be engineered. And this is a very hard concept for us to understand, okay? So, there's something called the boom-bust cycle.

Which basically states that you have the economy booming, then suddenly, for whatever reason, it collapses, okay? It's called a boom-bust cycle. The idea is that if you study economics, they teach you that this is just a natural part of capitalism because in good times, people spend too much money. They become overconfident. And so, then they waste a lot of money, and then it collapses. The economy turns bad, and so, you have to focus on being more lean and efficient and resilient. So, think of, you know, gaining weight, okay? You gain too much weight, and then you feel bad, so then you lose weight.

And that's the idea of the boom-bust cycle. The problem, though, is that no one can explain properly how and why the bubble pops, okay? What's the trigger for the collapse?

If you study economics, you will never ever know the answer. So, we are going to focus on speculation today, okay? So, again, the internet knows this, but I've never studied economics. I don't know much about economics, but I'm curious as to why this happens, okay? Why is it that bubbles pop? How do economies rise and fall, okay? So, I'm not an expert. I'm not even a professor. Yes, I understand. But what I do is I engage in speculation for fun, for entertainment, okay? So, just see this as a fun class where we're going to explore some fun topics that have no scholarly basis, okay?

All right. So, just keep this in mind, guys. All right. So, let's look very quickly at the main explanation for why booms and busts happen. And this is from Andrew Ross Sorkin, who is probably the most influential financial journalist in, and he wrote a book called 1929, which looks at the stock market collapse of 1929, and he offers a very good explanation as to why it happened, okay? So, Emma, could you read for me, please? "Of course. Lengthy, uninterrupted booms, like the one in the 1920s, produce a collective delusion. Optimism becomes a drug or a religion or some combination of both.

People lose their ability to calculate risk and distinguish between good ideas and bad ones." Okay, so again, this is the same explanation for why there's a bubble burst, because it's delusional, and then it's like you fly too high, okay? But you're not supposed to fly, so then you fall down to the ground eventually. It's just gravity, okay? The idea of. But what I want to show you today is there's actually another explanation, which is this is all being engineered. There are people behind the scenes with the power to cause economies to rise and to fall, okay?

So, let me give you an example of this. All right. Let's just say you're a bank. All right? You're a bank. And your job is to take people's money, save it, and then use it properly in order to promote the economy, okay? So, let's just say we put a million dollars into the bank. Okay? And what does the bank do with it? The bank then lends it out to. Right? So, maybe I want to start a restaurant, and so I borrow a million dollars from the bank.

Question. How much money is in the bank? It should be zero, right? Okay, that's math, guys. Look, if I take in a million dollars and I lend out a million dollars, I should have zero because that's just basic math. But that's not the answer. The actual answer is two million dollars.

What you need to understand is that each bank has the ability to print its own. And the bank is a mechanism for liquidity in the economy, okay? And this is a great illusion. Like, this is a delusion, okay? Behind the economy, where money is just an idea. It's a concept. It's a collective hallucination. All right? Now, but the problem is there are thousands, tens of thousands of banks everywhere. So, how do they know how to coordinate together?

Okay? And this is something else you need to understand about the system. There's actually something called a signaling. So, all these banks are separate, but they are linked together into something called a central bank. Okay? Central And what does the central bank do?

The central bank whether or not to lend money or not to lend money. And it's in this mechanism that's called the interest. Now, again, if you study economics, what they will teach you is that depending on the interest rate, if it's low, maybe or 5%, or high 5%, then that will determine how consumers behave. If the interest rate is 1%, what this means is I can go to the bank, get money, and buy a house. Right? If it's too high, 5%, then I don't want to go to the bank to buy a house.

And this is what you're taught in economics class. But there's actually another explanation, which is the interest rate is not to signal consumers or homeowners to buy, but rather for banks to lend or. Okay, does that make sense? Because the banks, what they can do is depending on the interest rate, they know that okay, my job is to release more liquidity into the system, release more money into the system, and therefore I will make it easier to take out a loan. Okay? But if the interest rate is high, then I know, okay, I must not release too much liquidity in the system, therefore I will make the loan application hard.

So, in other words, the interest rate is not set in order to guide consumer behavior, it is set in order to coordinate liquidity in the marketplace. Okay, does that make sense? Okay. So, these are two very curious aspects of this system that people don't really. So, in order to understand the system, I will explain to you how the world works. Okay, now I explained this before, but I want to summarize and apply it to this scenario, okay? So, the first thing to understand is that we live in Plato's cave.

Okay, meaning that we're all chained to the floor and we're all watching a screen. And behind is this great fire where the elite create puppets so that we can collectively hallucinate our own reality. All right? And this mechanism that allows us to coordinate our imagination is of course called money. All right, so think of money as. Right? And so, what money is doing is it's focusing our minds in a certain way that creates our reality.

All right? So, remember this idea and keep this in mind. Okay, so because of this concept, this allows us to create the world that we live in today. Okay? So, remember how the world is structured. You have the empire.

But then you have the game masters. Who are the game masters? They're the people in finance. Okay, and this includes the Bank of International Settlements, World Bank, International Monetary Fund, Wall Street, City of London. Okay, these are different financial organizations that coordinate together and they're the game masters. And what they do is they control how US dollars, which is the currency of this game, they control how US dollars move around the system, okay? So. And this creates, of course, the global But you cannot allow people to think that there's actually a set of people manipulating this game because then people will think this is not fair.

It's not transparent. It's. And it's not a clean game. So, what you do is you create multilateral called the rules-based international, like the WTO, UN. And you make them believe that, "Oh, it's these impartial organizations that actually control the game. So, it's fair and it's transparent. It's accountable to the people." Okay? And then you reinforce this using media, education, and culture. And together these three will create the values and norms that make us believe that this is a fair, open, and transparent game in which we can all win.

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Okay? So, that when there's a collapse, it's not because there are people engineering this collapse behind the scenes, it's because it's a law of gravity. This happens naturally in this game. It's no one's fault. It's just like we were too lazy and corrupt. All right. So, certain things to remember about the system is that this system is not as clean as you think because there are opposing forces to it. All right. And these opposing forces are such forces such as Okay?

Or ethnic identity. Then you have social democracy. Individual rights, right? And then of course you have religion. All right, so there are these countervailing forces that try to break apart the system. So then what happens is that there are other systems that keep the system in place and respond to these countervailing forces, all right? And they are spies, basically, crime, and science. And behind these three forces are three sets of powerful institutions, okay? These are transnational capital, secret societies, and the last is elite families. Okay? Some people call them the Illuminati, okay?

It doesn't matter. All right? So this is how the world works. And this elite is something called the occult, which we'll study later on. All right. So certain things that stand out about the system that you may notice is, "Hey guys, look.

Transnational capital is also the game masters as well as the global economy, okay? This is important because remember, this system is the parasite. And this system is the host. So transnational capital is both the parasite as well as the host. It's both the game master as well as the player. Okay? So this obviously leads to a lot of corruption. So then the question is, how do we get this system? Where did this system come from? So let me go into some history. So, the year is 1688.

And then in Britain, there's something called the Glorious. Think of the Glorious Revolution as a marriage between two empires, the British Empire and the Dutch Republic, okay?

Dutch Republic. But at this point in history, 1688, the Dutch Republic is the richest area of the world because it controls the spice trade. In this time in history, spice is the most valuable commodity. The problem with the Dutch Republic is that it cannot defend itself in Europe, okay? It's easily invaded. It's also. So, and they are being attacked by the Catholics, Catholic France, the Catholic Church, as well as the Holy Roman Empire. So, what they agree to do is they agree to combine their forces.

All right? So, what happens is the wealth of the Dutch Republic goes to. All right? And creates something called in 1694 the Church, I'm sorry, the Bank of Okay?

So, this is a private bank that is not accountable to the public. What it does is this, it prints money. And then who buys it? Parliament buys it.

And this is a massive innovation that allows the Empire to conquer the. Because before, if you're rich, if you lend your money to a king to fight wars, that was dangerous because a king could die, or the king could lose the war, or the king could not pay you back, okay? But if you lend money to Parliament, which is the nation-state, then you're guaranteed to get your money back as long as the nation is still around, okay? And at this time in history, England is the safest area of Europe because it's an island protected by the Royal Navy.

All right? So, this is an innovation that forever changes human history. And there are three major characteristics of this system, okay? The first is the idea of. Are privatized.

Are socialized. If you're a rich person in the world, you want to put your money in the Bank of England because you just know that the Bank of England loses money. If England goes to fight a war and it loses, England pays for it. But if it wins the war, then you get the money for it. Okay? So, this is the first concept you need to understand. All profits are. All losses are socialized, picked up by the nation-state, the people. That's the first thing. Second thing is in this system, the way you generate wealth is through activity.

And what does that mean? It means wars. So, if I give you money, you have to go do something with it. You have to go make more profit, and the way you do that is through fighting wars. And that's why the British Empire started to expand very quickly around the world because they needed to generate profits for the bankers. Okay? So, this includes of course the Napoleonic Wars, seven of them. It includes something called the Great Game, a war between Russia and Britain for control of essentially Asia. And also India, the conquest of India, and then the conquest of China, okay?

Does that make sense? The Opium Wars. All right. So, profits. So, the second characteristic is that you're always creating more activity. All right? And the third thing is it's transnationalism.

Open borders. So, it believes that capital should be able to move around from place to place, and it has to build systems in order to move capital from place to place. Okay? And the last thing I want to talk about is. Okay, this is great for the bankers, but the people look at this and they think that this is an unfair system, which it is, right? So, now you have to brainwash the people into believing this is a fair system. And that's why you create a new idea called materialism.

Or money is God. And so, what was happening was that transnational capital, Bank of England, was sponsoring major intellectuals to come up with the major ideologies to support the idea that money is God, okay? And these include, sorry, John Locke, who argued that private property is a God-given right, okay? It is an inherent right as much as freedom, as much as happiness, and he's the founder of a theory called empiricism.

And empiricism states that we can only know what we ourselves It is not feasible, it's not practical to try to come up with a theory of the world beyond our experience.

So, don't think about God because God is beyond our experience, okay? Then you have someone named David Hume. Okay? David Hume. And David Hume argued for skepticism. And skepticism just says that everything that you know is actually not valid. Because what you know is just based on your belief, okay? So, Rome is the capital of Italy. Have you been to Rome? Probably not, okay? So, where did you learn this? You learned it in school by memorizing this So, basically, we should be skeptical of everything we know because most of the stuff we know is either custom or habit, okay?

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So, that's the idea of skepticism. So, now the problem is, skepticism and empiricism just means that we don't really know anything and God doesn't really exist. So, how can we design society? And so, this creates a new idea called Which just says that if it gives us pleasure, it must be Okay? If you take drugs and you are happy with it, it must be good. If you like spending money, it must be good. Okay? And this is from Bentham. And then John Stuart Mill will make some adjustments to it, okay?

But this becomes the very concept of Right? Liberty just means that you are free to pursue as much money making as possible because that is the ultimate good. That is what gives you the most pleasure in life, spending money. Okay? That's what liberty is. If a country prevents you from making money and spending money, it's an evil dictatorship. A good country allows you to enjoy the pleasures of making money. Okay?

And then what will happen is that these are the three major philosophers of British liberty. And then you have people like Marx come in.

And he will introduce the idea of dialectic materialism. Which is to say the world is one of class struggle. It's not between God and us. It's not between the divine and the material. It's one between the poor and the rich. And that's it, okay? So Marx is taking out the divine from the equation. Then you have Darwin. Theory of evolution. Which basically says we're just animals, okay? That's all. We're not divine beings. We're all just animals. Then you have people like Freud. Sex is awesome, guys, okay?

That's what we should be doing. We should be making a lot of money and then having as much sex as possible because that's what we are. We're just apes. Okay? So this becomes the very for the idea that money is God. All right? Okay.

What then happens is that transnational capital, which has conquered the British Empire, is now seeking new opportunities for its investments, okay? So, where it goes next is, of course, America. The problem is that the Americans just had a revolution to get rid of the British Empire, right? So, the Americans don't want transnational capital. It doesn't want Bank of England or City of London to come in and conquer it. So what happens is the City of London, the Bank of England, they use agents in America. And these agents, of course, are called there's three of them, okay?

Well, there's actually a lot, but these agents John Rockefeller, Carnegie, okay? Andrew Carnegie, J.P. Morgan. And they will, by themselves, monopolize different industries with the resources and the capital of the City of London and the Bank of England, okay? So, of course, John Rockefeller monopolizes oil, okay? And then what happens is that these very powerful agents of the City of London will get together and they will create a system modeled off the Bank of England. And this, of course, is called the Federal Reserve. All right?

And strangely enough, after the Federal Reserve System is created, three things happen, right? The first is that America enters World War I. Then you have the 1929 stock market collapse, followed by Great Depression, and then 1941, America joins World War II. Do you understand? So, Federal Reserve System means that, like Britain, America is now controlled by transnational capital. Right? And it's the same system now, profits are prioritized, losses are And where it's important to open the country up to capital movement. All right? Okay.

So, as we know, America wins World War II, and what it does now is that it tries to move the system all over the world, specifically Japan and Europe, okay?

Where it's able to control the territory. And eventually, it fights a Cold War with the Soviet Union, but then it wins. And then it basically after the collapse of the Soviet Union, for the next 20, 30 years, it has complete control over the world. Something that we call the unipolar moment. All And during the unipolar moment, what happens is that manufacturing from America shifts over to China, and America completely focuses on finance. This leads to the 2008 Great Financial All right. Okay. So, let me provide some background about the financial crisis, okay?

You don't have to know everything. I'm going to give you a lot of details, but I just want you to understand the basic structure of it, okay? So, what allowed the Great Financial Crisis to happen is something called Subprime just means that you're lending money to people who can't pay you back. Okay? In this context, it's people lending money to poor people to buy homes. Before, banks didn't want to do that. But there are certain things that happened to make subprime happen, okay? So the first thing is that Bill Clinton, he really wanted to increase minority of homes.

Okay? He wanted black people to buy more But again, black people were historically poor, so the banks didn't really lend money to them. And that's why Bill Clinton encouraged the government to help minority homeowners, sorry, minorities buy homes, okay? So that's the first thing. Okay? And this was a noble goal. But something that happened, which is more important, is in 1999, Bill Clinton repealed something called And what is this? The Glass-Steagall Act just said that if you are a bank and you take money from depositors, you cannot engage in risky lending.

Okay? If you are an investment bank, okay? If you're a retail bank, you cannot engage in risky lending. But if you're an investment bank or private bank, you can engage in risky lending. And so that's what the act said, very simple, okay? It's trying to mitigate risk in the But by repealing the Glass-Steagall Act, what you do is you combine retail and investment together. And so these banks now become very large. And once they become very large, they need to create financial vehicles in order to generate more profit, okay?

And at the same time, what's happening is that because America has the unipolar moment, everyone wants to invest in America because they think America is the safest place to put your money, okay? So, this includes the GCC, the Europe and its pension funds, and also Japan, okay? Japan is investing in America because of something called the yen carry trade. And this is one of the dumbest things in the world because at this time in history, Japan is suffering from deflation, right? No one's spending any money. So, what the government does is that it lends money out at 0% interest, Now, these institutions are supposed to take this money and promote more liquidity in the system.

But instead, what they do is they take this money and use it to borrow or buy US Treasuries, which provide 5% pay, okay? So, you're borrowing money at 0% and then lending it out at 5%, and it's something called the yen carry trade, okay? It's one of the dumbest things in the world. We won't go into it, but again, there's massive money coming into the US financial markets, and they need to create more investment vehicles for investors, okay? And they create something called the CDOs, which means collateral debt obligations, okay?

Part 430:21

But basically, it just means all right? The idea is that mortgages are a good investment because people have to pay a monthly mortgage, right? Therefore, you're guaranteed certain money at the end of the month, okay? The problem, of course, is subprime could lead to default.

Okay? But, at this time in history, no one was concerned about default because of the idea of too big to fail. Which means that, look, the system is structured so that everyone is involved. And if these homeowners default, and the banks default, then the entire economy Okay? So, the idea is too big to fail. The system will keep on going because if a certain percentage of homeowners were to default, the entire housing market would collapse. Okay? Doesn't make sense, guys. All right. So, this is one big Ponzi But, we know for a fact that in 2008, this system collapsed.

And for the longest time, what we believed is it's because there were too many. They were too much. And so, the system had to collapse. But, if you look at what happened, what you will discover is that's not true. Okay? The banks could just choose to roll over the default, okay? Meaning, okay, you owe me a thousand dollars, right? For the mortgage, but you can't pay me. What do I do? Well, I say, "Pay me back next month." Right? You're like, "Next month you can't pay me back?" Don't worry.

Pay me back the month after, okay? I can have the system keep on going. Because remember, the system, this money is just based on an illusion. Doesn't make sense, guys. All right.

But it collapsed. Okay? So, that's something that we're going to look at today. All right. So, as you can see from this map, this chart, at first what was happening was that the government was issuing out loans, okay? So, the government is basically light blue. But then, because this industry was so profitable, private banks started to come in and issue their own loans. And these became very risky loans.

And this led, of course, to 2008, when the entire thing collapsed. Okay. All right. The big question is, why did the financial market collapse? So, this is the CDO issuance, okay? And as you can see, it's generating a lot of money for these private banks. And then suddenly, in 2008, there's this massive default, it collapses. Question is, why did this happen? And again, you're taught in an English class, this is just the law of gravity, okay? If you go too high, you're going to fall. But what people don't tell you is this.

There are actually people who made a lot of money because of the collapse. John Paulson. How much money did he make in this 20 billion dollars, guys. That's a lot of money. 20 billion dollars.

How did he make his money? He made his money by betting that the house market would collapse. You understand what happened, okay? So think about this, okay? I lend a million dollars to Amber, okay? And everyone, you got to pay back 10,000 But then suddenly, you can't pay me back, right? But if I tell you, you can't pay me back, you have to give me your home, okay? Then I lose my investment in you, right? So, I don't do that. I keep on letting you live in the house, pretend that you can pay me back even though you can't pay me back.

But then Vincent says to me, "Hey Mr. Jeff, I bet you that Amber will not default on her loan because she hasn't defaulted in the past 10 years." I say to Vincent, "How much you want to bet me?" And he's like, "Half a million dollars." Okay? He's so confident that you will not default, right? So I say, "Sure Vincent, I'll take this bet with you." Right? Now what I do, now I make you default cuz now I can make a million dollars from Vincent. And that's how it works, guys. You think it's a very complicated thing?

It's not. It's all a giant scam because only a few people control the entire system. This is how you make 20 billion in this game, okay? There's stupid people buying mortgages from you, right? But there are even more stupid people who bet that you will not default on these mortgages. And so you take your money from the stupidest people. And that's why this system collapsed. Because you can make more money from collapsing the system than just letting it go on. This is John Paulson.

This is Jamie Dimon. And he also profited from the bank collapse. Why? Because when these banks collapsed, you can start to consolidate the banking industry, okay? So JP Morgan starts to buy these other banks that were losing money. And then JP Morgan now is the largest bank in America.

All right? Also, guys, look at this. Before 2000 and most homes were actually owned by individuals, okay? This is 2008, okay? So the gray are just individuals. They might have one home, they might have 10 homes. Okay, but this is basically individuals. The blue are those who own more than a thousand houses. And then the dark blue are those big banks that own like hundred thousands of homes. Okay? So, before 2008, you can see like most people were in the gray. Okay? These are just individuals. But then, after the collapse, you see the blue and the dark blue go way up.

Why? Because these homeowners lost their homes. And so these banks and these companies can come in and buy them on the cheap. Does that make sense? So, the great financial crisis of 2008 destroyed millions of lives, but it made it profitable for a few powerful individuals and All right. A major consequence So then you're like, "Okay, no, no, NO. NO, MR. YANG, YOU DON'T GET IT. It's Eventually, a bubble has to collapse." Well, okay. Well, today we have two We have something called the private equity bubble.

Private credit bubble. Okay? Where private banks lend money to private And people say it's two trillion And it hasn't collapsed yet. Why? Because the private banks the private companies who are losing money to keep on going. You understand? The private banks don't come and say, "Hey, you guys are losing money. I you should declare bankruptcy and I'll take whatever you have." Why? Because they would lose a lot of money that way. Okay, do you understand this idea? These bubbles can keep on going forever. They don't have to collapse.

Another big bubble today is something called the AI bubble, right?

These companies, Nvidia, OpenAI, when they their AI products don't actually make any money. Like ChatGPT doesn't actually make any money. In fact, it loses money every time you use it, okay? Because it's more expensive to run ChatGPT than it generates in revenue. But it's a huge bubble. But why doesn't it collapse? Because these are just a few companies lending money to each other. Okay? That's all it is. It's a giant Ponzi scheme. It's an inside game. So bubbles don't have to collapse. They collapse when it's profitable for a few individuals to make it collapse.

PredictionThe private credit and AI bubbles will not collapse on their own but only when it is profitable for a few insiders to pop them.Unresolvable

All right? Okay. Another idea I want you to understand is after the 2008 great financial crisis, this created problems in the global economy. And so what happened was transnational capital decided to save the global economy by allowing China to rise. Okay? You get So this is not known, but one major consequence of the great financial crisis is that transnational encouraged China to print money.

All right. So I'm going to show you how. But first let's talk about the main mechanism to allow this to happen. It's called the Bank of International Settlements, okay? And the Bank of International Settlements is in Basel, Switzerland. And it's considered the central bank of central banks. So every nation has a central bank, okay, that determines interest rate. But the BIS is the central bank of central banks, which coordinates all central banks. All right? And it is the most powerful bank in the world. All right. And you think that okay, this must be public.

Part 540:20

No, it's not public. It is managed for the best interest of powerful people in the world, okay? All right. So, this is in the book, Tower of Basel, okay? Can you read? "For despite Hitler's bluster and Schacht's planning, Nazi Germany had not achieved autarky. It needed to buy vast amounts of raw materials to manufacture armaments and to feed, heat, and clothe its population. Swedish steel, Romanian oil, Portuguese tungsten, even South American beef all had to be purchased and paid for in hard currency.

Nazi Germany needed a financial channel to the neutral countries. It ran through Basel, which is the main reason why Nazi Germany did not invade Switzerland or Sweden. These neutral countries were far more used to the Third Reich as Third Reich.

Reich. Yes, Third Reich as monetary hubs on the transnational financial network than as extra Schwaths of German controlled territory."

Okay, so what this means is this. In his speeches, Hitler promised independence from the global financial order controlled by the British, okay? But you can't really do that because you still have to buy things from other places. But then you're like, I need a bank to lend me money to buy things, but also help me facilitate Okay, this is the idea of transnational And transnational capital, they don't really care if you're evil. They don't care. All they care about is how can I make money? So this bank, Bank of International Settlements, and tries on the tries on the capital was helping to fund the Nazi war machine because it was profitable to do so.

You think, okay, after Hitler lost, the Americans would surely know, okay, Bank of International Settlements is evil because they helped the Nazis. Therefore, we should destroy the Bank of International Settlements, okay? But that's not what happened. After World War II, the Bank of International Settlements became even more powerful, okay? All right. All right. Can you read, Amber? "Marshall Aid came at a price. Remodeling European societies on American model of consumerism and consumption. Half man's propaganda arm produced pamphlets, posters, leaflets, radio programs, and even traveling puppet shows that extolled the American lifestyle.

The American dream, a house in the suburbs, a car, and numerous household appliance was projected as a near guaranteed benefit of American style freedom. The key to this was increased productivity on American style production lines in a transnational free market. For that to happen and for the money to flow freely, new mechanisms of international payment had to be constructed with the BIS at the center." Okay. So, the world is run for money, okay? The world exists These organizations exist in order to facilitate the easy fluid movement of money around the world.

And they money god. Okay? So, after 2008, the Bank of International Settlements had a problem in that the global economy was slowing down. Europe had lost a lot of money. America had lost a lot of money. So, their solution was, let's shift the center of gravity from America and Europe to China. And you're like, okay, how do you do that then? You do that with something called the exchange rate.

Okay? Exchange rate is very simple. RMB to USD. So, remember how the interest rate in a national economy, it's a signaling mechanism as to whether or not to increase or decrease liquidity. Well, the exchange rate in the international marketplace is a signaling mechanism to tell other nations whether or not to trade with another nation. Okay, does that make sense to you guys? All right. So, let's look at what happened.

So, for the longest time the Chinese currency was trading above to the US dollar. Because remember the US dollar is the main mechanism of global trade. And then, hey, starting around this time, 2008 guys, it starts to increase in value. Okay? And so now the world knows, "Oh, I should trade with China." And China is like, "Well, okay, my exchange rate is higher than before. Therefore, I should buy more things from the world." But knowing that, but now that I have access to commodities from the world, then I should know I need to promote my economy to use these resources.

So, I should spend more money on infrastructure. I should build more high-speed railways. I SHOULD BUILD And that's what China did. You see how 2008, just as the American and European economies are suffering, the global economy is suffering, the Chinese economy, China starts to have a high exchange rate, okay? And it kept on going higher, higher and higher. And then what are you trying to do, vid? Try to start to buy stuff from around the world with it. Okay? Again, this is a signaling mechanism where the Bank of International Settlements is saying to the world, you can now sell to China.

We will guarantee All right? And that's because the Bank of International Settlements needed to try to buy more things from the world. And this is happening starting around 2008, right? This massive surge in imports.

And because all the commodities were coming into China, China needed to spend these commodities, so it started to build infrastructure, right? And how did it finance the building of this Bank loans, guys. Bank loans. All right? So, this is China.

This is China, right? Look at this. Look at this. This is China. 2008 Basically, China, US, Japan, Europe, their economies were about the same. The bank systems were about the same. But starting about 2008, wow. Look at this. This has all been orchestrated by the Bank of International Settlements, by a few people working behind the scenes. Look at this. Look at how crazy this is. All right? So, what does this mean? It means that today China has the largest banks in the world.

This is JP Morgan, the largest in America. This is Chinese. This is Chinese. This is Chinese. This is Chinese. This is Japanese. Okay? The top four banks in the world are Chinese.

Why? Because in the bank system, debts are liabili- I'm sorry. Debt liabilities are also assets. Do you understand? All this money that the Chinese banks have are just liabilities.

So, this is how the system works. It's all just an illusion. The thing about the Chinese system that prevents it from imploding is the fact that all debt in China is localized instead of nationalized. All right? So, even though these Chinese banks are heavily in debt, they're in debt in local areas, not national areas, okay? And all this means is that the Bank of China does not have that much debt relative to, say, the Bank of Okay? So, debt in Japan is nationalized. Debt in China is localized.

All right? Okay. So, another major consequence of the growth of the Chinese bank system is that China started to export its goods around the world more, okay? So, as you can see, in the year really dominated the world in manufacture export, okay? But by the year 2024, look, it's basically the entire world is buying Chinese exports. All right? And so, this is a deliberate strategy of Chinese national capital to move the center of economic gravity from the United States to China.

And the problem with China, the reason why China has not become the hegemon is China's not interested in being the hegemon. Me In other words, military Also, as China is expanding its manufacturing capacity to the world, who's upset now? The United States, right? And so what the United States does is it imposes tariffs.

Part 650:21

That makes sense. All right. So, in other words, okay? Even though in theory the theory is that the goal of the bankers is to maintain the game, okay? That's all they care about. So, they want to switch from America to China. But it didn't really work because China doesn't really want to take the responsibility of being the global reserve currency as well as having military bases overseas. All right? So, China doesn't want to do this and America won't let China do So, your only option now is Israel.

And that's why I believe that this war in Iran, what it will do is shift the center of gravity from America to Israel because Israel wants to be the center of the world, not China. Okay? Does that make sense, you All right. The other thing you have to understand is that for this to happen, though, transnational capital needs to first collapse the American economy. And there are different ways they can do that, right? They can collapse the private credit bubble, they can collapse the AI bubble, they can collapse both at the same time.

PredictionThe Iran war will shift the world's center of gravity from America to Israel, with trillions of dollars of transnational capital flowing into Israel.Open

And why would they want to do that? Because as a banker, as transnational capital, you make your money through activity. All right? When people go and do stuff, whether it's entrepreneurship or starting wars? But they have to go do stuff. And right now America has a lot of problems, okay? So let's look at America's problems. First is aging, where the elite are now older and older. They therefore are less active. They are less energetic. They are less entrepreneurial, okay? Then you have something called quantitative easing, which is like too much money in the system.

You have too much money in the system, then people do stupid things like gamble, okay? All right? And the last problem with America is you can't win wars.

Okay? Like this Iran situation is showing that the American military is not as strong as you think it is. So if you're a transnational capitalist, you see these three things, okay? The population is getting too old. There's too much money around, so people will do stupid things like And America, the American military is not that great. Then you're going to shift your capital from America overseas, But before you do that, what you want to do is engineer a financial so that you can make as much money as possible, just like the 2008 financial crisis, okay?

So we don't know when it will happen, but we can be sure that it will happen. It will be suddenly, okay? Okay, does that make sense, guys? Now, you're like, "Wait a minute here. What would Trump and Americans allow this to happen?" They know they must know this is coming. And the answer is because it is in the best interests of America for the economy to collapse and for transnational capital to go elsewhere. And this is something we'll discuss next class, okay? What the long-term American strategy is. Transnational capital is leaving America.

PredictionThe US economy and stock market will be deliberately collapsed by transnational capital (private credit bubble, AI bubble, or both) as capital leaves America; timing unknown but it will happen suddenly.Open

So and then they're going to say, like, "Oh my god, Bank of England, City of London? These parasites are leaving? Thank you. Get out of here, man." Okay? And what will happen is once they leave, America will probably have a much brighter future. And something we'll discuss next class. But, any questions?

So, seems like that America is in a disadvantage situation, but they know what they are doing and they are just sending parasites outside of their country and having a more long-term benefit. Is that right?

Okay. So, this is something we'll discuss next class, okay? But, this is not a deliberate strategy. All right? Because if you think about it, economic collapse will destroy a lot of wealth in America. It will probably create conditions for civil war in America. It will create a lot of pain. But, there are certain for example, Donald Trump, who believe that this pain is necessary in order for America to become great again, okay? He said His motto is what? Make America great again. And how do you do that? You get rid of these parasites.

PredictionAn American economic collapse will create conditions for civil war in America.Open

But, to get rid of parasites, guys, it's a painful, painful process. It's like a cancer, right? Have you guys been through cancer treatment? It's painful. Chemotherapy, they do surgery on you. You have to like eat this, you know, crappy food all the time. It's a painful process. Okay? So, transnational capital, it's a parasitic force, it's a cancer on the American host. They have to get rid of it, but it's going to be a very painful process that's going to take a long time, years, possibly decades, okay? Yeah, Amber.

PredictionGetting rid of transnational capital will be a painful process in America lasting years or possibly decades, after which America will have a much brighter future.Unresolvable

Thank you. So, if transnational capital is leaving America, then how would you think this shift would impact the global economy? Or would it at all? Yeah, okay. All right. Yeah, all right. So, this is something we'll discuss later on, okay? But, let me just show you how this shift happens. All right. So, right now you're in America.

And the best place for you to shift is Okay? Why? Because you're interested in activity. Okay? You're interested in putting your money in a place where it's going to grow. Right? And why is Israel growing? Well, because of the Greater Israel project. Right? They want to conquer the Middle But, then it has to rebuild. Right? After the war.

And then, what it's going to do is become the hub of global trade. Because Israel controls Africa. And this is something we'll discuss next class, So, this is why you want to invest in Israel. For these three reasons. Why? Because they're going to keep on fighting wars to achieve the Greater Israel project. Wars are profitable. Wars are the most profitable enterprise in the world, okay? Second is that they rebuild after all this destruction. So, they need capital. The third is they will control global trade because of the location, okay?

So, this is why Israel is a smart investment for transnational capital. I'm not talking about like us, okay? With like $1,000. I'm talking about like trillions of dollars will probably go into Israel. All right. So, to leave America, what you want is a stock market collapse, okay? An economic collapse.

PredictionTrillions of dollars of capital will flow into Israel as a hub of global trade, war and reconstruction.Open

Because economic collapse not only allows you to leave with as much money as possible, but also allows you to buy up distressed assets. When I mean distressed assets, I mean Which include oil, okay? So, you want to create as much damage as possible, because then it's easier for you to buy these And okay, does that make sense? Right? So, these guys plan decades ahead. But transnational capital, what they do is they're trying to create as much chaos as possible because in chaos there's profit.

Like if you're just sitting around doing nothing, you can't make any money, okay? But if you're fighting each other, if there's blood on the streets, you can make a lot of money. Does that make sense? Okay. Any more questions, guys? Okay, so we'll talk about what happens after this financial shift next class, okay?

Predictive History

An independent scorecard of every forward-looking claim Professor Jiang Xueqin made on the @PredictiveHistory YouTube channel. Not affiliated with the channel.

Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

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