US politicsOpen

An American economic collapse will create conditions for civil war in America.

Timeline No deadline given

Timeframe after the collapseSaid again 30×

Verdict Open

No US economic collapse as of Oct 2026: the S&P 500 drew down ~9% in March 2026 on the oil shock, then recovered. The conditional premise has not occurred.

What he said

economic collapse will destroy a lot of wealth in America. It will probably create conditions for civil war in America.
Read it in the transcript, in context →

He keeps saying this

Restated in 23 videos as America will descend into a second civil war

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Predictive History

An independent scorecard of every forward-looking claim Professor Jiang Xueqin made on the @PredictiveHistory YouTube channel. Not affiliated with the channel.

Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

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Each transcript was read in full by an AI model to pull out predictions, with the exact quote and timestamp. Each one was then checked with web search against events up to the update date, with sources linked.

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Spot a mistake? Report it. Hit rate = (came true + ½ partly) ÷ resolved calls. Claims that were already underway when he made them are left out. Open calls haven't reached a verdict; Unresolvable ones are too vague ever to check. Verdicts are AI-assisted and may contain errors.