US politicsOpen

The US will descend into a civil war (Democrats vs Republicans, major cities in defiance) leading to the balkanization of the United States.

Timeline Closes in 9.2 years

Timeframe midterm (roughly next 5-15 years)Window 9.3 yearsSaid again 30×

Verdict Open

There is no civil war or balkanization as of October 2026. There is local defiance of ICE, such as NYC's mayor demanding an end to ICE operations after the Oct 8 shooting, but nothing near war.

What he said

midterm I think what's going to happen is a civil war uh which will lead to the balconization of the United States
Read it in the transcript, in context →

He keeps saying this

Restated in 23 videos as America will descend into a second civil war

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US politics

Trump will colonize/take over the Western Hemisphere (Canada, Greenland, Iceland, Mexico, Cuba, Venezuela, Latin America) and partition it among allies and corporations, though he says the effort will not ultimately succeed.

Partial moves so far. Maduro was captured in Jan 2026 (before this video), and the Sep 2026 Greenland deal gave the US military access without sovereignty. Cuba remains under blockade but has not been taken. Nothing has happened to Canada, Iceland or Mexico.

Open
Closes Jan 2033in 2288 days
Technology & AI

When the AI bubble collapses, the US government will bail out AI companies and nationalize AI data centers under military protection.

As of Oct 2026 no US nationalization of AI data centers or government stake in OpenAI has occurred; the White House (David Sacks, Nov 2025) ruled out an AI bailout, and federal involvement is limited to leasing DOE land (e.g., Savannah River Site, July 2026) to privately financed data centers. No AI bubble collapse has occurred yet.

Open
Said Aug 31, 2026no deadline
Iran & Middle East

The Iran war is intended to force the war of Gog and Magog in the Middle East and bring about the end times; he agrees the Middle East is heading to all-out warfare.

Whether the war is 'intended to force the war of Gog and Magog' is an eschatological claim about intent that cannot be checked. Regionally, the war did widen in September 2026 with the Houthi-Saudi front.

Unresolvable
Said Aug 31, 2026no deadline
Predictive History

An independent scorecard of every forward-looking claim Professor Jiang Xueqin made on the @PredictiveHistory YouTube channel. Not affiliated with the channel.

Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

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Each transcript was read in full by an AI model to pull out predictions, with the exact quote and timestamp. Each one was then checked with web search against events up to the update date, with sources linked.

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Spot a mistake? Report it. Hit rate = (came true + ½ partly) ÷ resolved calls. Claims that were already underway when he made them are left out. Open calls haven't reached a verdict; Unresolvable ones are too vague ever to check. Verdicts are AI-assisted and may contain errors.