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China & TaiwanUnresolvable

China is finished as a rising power (hedged: 'this is all just a theory').

Said Jan 20, 2026 in Game Theory #5: The World Game

Timeline No deadline given

Timeframe unspecifiedSaid again 8×

Verdict Unresolvable

'Done' is not defined, and he hedged it himself as 'just a theory'. China remains a major power, hosting and making state visits with the US in 2026.

What he said

How about China? >> Done.

Read it in the transcript, in context →

He keeps saying this

Restated in 7 videos as China is finished as a rising power

Sep 252026

OpenDeadline Sep 2036

China's provinces/regional factions will break away from Beijing within the next 10 years.

Sep 252026

OpenDeadline Sep 2036

Over the next 5-10 years China will see a surge of messianic and superstitious movements amid economic collapse and floods.

Aug 162026

UnresolvableDeadline Aug 2036

China is basically done with no real growth potential.

⋯ 3 months earlier

May 282026

China is in decline that cannot be averted and will not achieve fair wealth distribution; it is not resilient.

May 72026

In the long term China will return to its cultural norm of isolationism and will not matter in the great scheme of geopolitics.

Apr 92026

China is a vassal construct of the system and a mirage; it will come under severe strain if the global economy collapses.

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