Home/Society & culture/Nationalist right-wing parties will take power in Europe
Society & cultureCame true

Mass immigration and identity politics will provoke conservative backlash that leads to a return of nationalism in the West.

Said Jun 5, 2025 in Civilization #58: Birth of the Nation-State @ 1:04:30

Timeline Resolved -102 days after he said it

Timeframe unspecifiedSaid again 5×

Verdict Came true

Already underway when stated: nationalist and anti-immigration parties had surged before June 2025, with Trump re-elected in Nov 2024 on an immigration platform and the AfD taking second place (20.8%) in Germany's Feb 2025 election, and this continued afterward. This described something already underway, so it isn't counted in the hit rate.

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What he said

the focus on individual rights is going to create more problems that may also allow for a return of nationalism in the future. And I think that's a very strong possibility
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He keeps saying this

Restated in 4 videos as Nationalist right-wing parties will take power in Europe

Predictive History

An independent scorecard of every forward-looking claim Professor Jiang Xueqin made on the @PredictiveHistory YouTube channel. Not affiliated with the channel.

Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

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