US politics
Trump will be elected again in November 2024.
Trump won the Nov 5, 2024 election with 312 electoral votes and the popular vote.
Came true
Resolved Nov 2024said Jun 2024
EuropeDidn't happen
Marine Le Pen's party may run and govern France within three months after Macron's early election call.
Said Jun 13, 2024 in Geo-Strategy END: Psychohistory (The Science of Imagining the Future) @ 28:28
Timeline Resolved 3 months after he said it, within his own window
Timeframe 3 months (by Sept 2024)Window 3 monthsSaid again 5×
Verdict Didn't happen
In the July 2024 snap election the RN came third in the runoff. Macron appointed Michel Barnier PM on September 5, 2024, so Le Pen's party did not govern France.
What he said
it's possible in 3 months Time Mary leen's party will run and govern France okay
Read it in the transcript, in context →He keeps saying this
Restated in 4 videos as Nationalist right-wing parties will take power in Europe
⋯ 2 months earlier
⋯ 12 months earlier
More from this video
Iran & Middle East
Trump will declare war on Iran, and the war will be a disaster for the United States.
Trump launched a war on Iran on 28 Feb 2026, though Congress never formally declared war. It has proved costly but has not clearly been a disaster: 21-24 US troops killed, 865+ wounded, about $43.6B spent, Hormuz disrupted, oil above $100, and the regime survives with fighting still going on. Whether it ends in disaster is still open.
Partly
Said Jun 13, 2024deadline Jan 2029
War & WWIII
The Iran war will mean the end of the American empire and a multipolar world of endless war and the deaths of millions or billions.
The US-Israel war on Iran began 28 Feb 2026, went through a Pakistan-brokered ceasefire (8 Apr) and the Islamabad Memorandum (17 Jun), collapsed 8 Jul, and is still unresolved in Oct 2026, with indirect talks via Qatar. There is no clear end of American power yet, and deaths number in the thousands, not millions.
Open
Said Jun 13, 2024no deadline
Other
Because of climate change the world will eventually collapse.
An open-ended claim that the world will 'eventually collapse' from climate change, with no timeframe or criteria that could be checked.
Unresolvable
Said Jun 13, 2024no deadline
Europe
The entire EU will be dead in about five years.
Deadline is June 2029. The EU is intact as of October 2026, though there are strains, such as Meloni calling for Spain's suspension from Schengen after the Ceuta breach in July 2026.
Open
Closes Jun 2029in 971 days
Society & culture
Society is unsustainable and will collapse, with world population falling from 8 billion to 1 billion.
World population is still above 8 billion and growing slowly as of 2026; no collapse toward 1 billion has begun. Long-term and open-ended.
Open
Said Jun 13, 2024no deadline
Technology & AI
Fully self-driving cars will never be achieved, since AI cannot handle edge cases such as humans intentionally crashing into them.
Already contradicted when stated and since: Waymo has run fully driverless (no safety driver) commercial robotaxis since 2020 and by mid-2026 operated ~3,500 vehicles in 11+ US cities with ~500,000 paid rides/week, adding Las Vegas, Miami and others in 2026 (geofenced Level 4, not universal Level 5).
Didn't happen
Resolved Jul 2026said Jun 2024