US politicsOpen

Trump will be president of the United States for the next 10 years.

Timeline Closes in 8.5 years

Timeframe next 10 yearsWindow 10.0 yearsSaid again 25×

Verdict Open

Trump is president as of Oct 2026, but the 10-year window runs to 2035. The 22nd Amendment bars a third term, and Trump acknowledged in Aug 2026 that 'the law is very strong.'

What he said

I think Trump will be president of the United States for the next 10 years.
Read it in the transcript, in context →

He keeps saying this

Restated in 18 videos as Trump will take a third term and never leave power

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An independent scorecard of every forward-looking claim Professor Jiang Xueqin made on the @PredictiveHistory YouTube channel. Not affiliated with the channel.

Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

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Each transcript was read in full by an AI model to pull out predictions, with the exact quote and timestamp. Each one was then checked with web search against events up to the update date, with sources linked.

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Spot a mistake? Report it. Hit rate = (came true + ½ partly) ÷ resolved calls. Claims that were already underway when he made them are left out. Open calls haven't reached a verdict; Unresolvable ones are too vague ever to check. Verdicts are AI-assisted and may contain errors.