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Recurring call · US politics

Trump will take a third term and never leave power

He says Trump aims to rule like a king: he will get a third term, rig or seize control of elections, and use ICE as a personal force. The route shifts from running his son with himself as VP (2024) to martial law during the war and finally a near-certain run as vice president in 2028.

18
videos
26
separate calls
50%
hit rate on 2 resolved
Jun 2024 → Oct 2026
first and latest time
Times said26Resolved2Scorecard

Moving the goalposts?

When he said it (left to right) against the deadline he gave (bottom to top). A rising path means the date keeps getting pushed back.

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Every time he said it

Predictive History

An independent scorecard of every forward-looking claim Professor Jiang Xueqin made on the @PredictiveHistory YouTube channel. Not affiliated with the channel.

Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

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Each transcript was read in full by an AI model to pull out predictions, with the exact quote and timestamp. Each one was then checked with web search against events up to the update date, with sources linked.

How the hit rate works

Spot a mistake? Report it. Hit rate = (came true + ½ partly) ÷ resolved calls. Claims that were already underway when he made them are left out. Open calls haven't reached a verdict; Unresolvable ones are too vague ever to check. Verdicts are AI-assisted and may contain errors.