Iran & Middle EastOpen

The US-Iran war will end only when the global economy is destroyed, which collapses the American-led order.

Timeline No deadline given

Timeframe unspecifiedSaid again 11×

Verdict Open

The war has not ended. The global economy has been hit hard (oil spikes, $200/bbl diesel in September) but has not been destroyed: in July 2026 the IMF projected 3% world growth.

What he said

When will this war end? This war ends when the global economy is destroyed.
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He keeps saying this

Restated in 11 videos as The American empire and its world order are ending

More from this video

Iran & Middle East

There will be no ceasefire, truce or peace between the US and Iran because both are fighting over the structure of reality itself.

A US-Iran ceasefire took effect on 2026-04-07/08 through Pakistani mediation. Trump extended it indefinitely on 2026-04-21, and both presidents signed the Islamabad Memorandum on 2026-06-17. It collapsed on 2026-07-08 and fighting resumed, but a ceasefire and truce did happen.

Didn't happen
Resolved Apr 2026said Mar 2026
Predictive History

An independent scorecard of every forward-looking claim Professor Jiang Xueqin made on the @PredictiveHistory YouTube channel. Not affiliated with the channel.

Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

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