Technology & AIOpen

Artificial general intelligence, nanotechnology and genetic immortality/designer babies are not achievable within current science; they are illusions or scams.

Timeline No deadline given

Timeframe unspecifiedSaid again 10×

Verdict Open

As of Oct 2026 none of AGI, mature molecular nanotechnology or genetic immortality has been achieved, but AI capabilities continue to advance; the claim that they are 'illusions' cannot be settled yet.

What he said

These are not possible within the current scientific framework that we have today. In fact, I would make the argument that these three are essentially illusions.
Read it in the transcript, in context →

He keeps saying this

Restated in 9 videos as AI and space travel are hype that won't deliver

More from this video

Predictive History

An independent scorecard of every forward-looking claim Professor Jiang Xueqin made on the @PredictiveHistory YouTube channel. Not affiliated with the channel.

Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

About · Method · Contact · Videos · Data

How calls are found and checked

Each transcript was read in full by an AI model to pull out predictions, with the exact quote and timestamp. Each one was then checked with web search against events up to the update date, with sources linked.

How the hit rate works

Spot a mistake? Report it. Hit rate = (came true + ½ partly) ÷ resolved calls. Claims that were already underway when he made them are left out. Open calls haven't reached a verdict; Unresolvable ones are too vague ever to check. Verdicts are AI-assisted and may contain errors.