Technology & AIUnresolvable

Studying computer programming/STEM and AI is a dead end; the future will belong to those who read the great books and think for themselves.

Timeline No deadline given

Timeframe unspecifiedSaid again 10×

Verdict Unresolvable

A value judgement about which skills will 'determine the future'; not checkable.

What he said

The future will be determined not by those who can computer program, but by those who can read and think for themselves.
Read it in the transcript, in context →

He keeps saying this

Restated in 9 videos as AI and space travel are hype that won't deliver

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Predictive History

An independent scorecard of every forward-looking claim Professor Jiang Xueqin made on the @PredictiveHistory YouTube channel. Not affiliated with the channel.

Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

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How calls are found and checked

Each transcript was read in full by an AI model to pull out predictions, with the exact quote and timestamp. Each one was then checked with web search against events up to the update date, with sources linked.

How the hit rate works

Spot a mistake? Report it. Hit rate = (came true + ½ partly) ÷ resolved calls. Claims that were already underway when he made them are left out. Open calls haven't reached a verdict; Unresolvable ones are too vague ever to check. Verdicts are AI-assisted and may contain errors.