Technology & AIDidn't happen

Humans will never reach Mars (or the moon) because the technology does not exist.

Timeline Resolved -82 days after he said it

Timeframe neverSaid again 10×

Verdict Didn't happen

The Moon part is contradicted: humans landed on the Moon 1969-72, and Artemis II flew a crew around the Moon on 2026-04-06/07, months before this video. The Mars part remains unresolved.

What he said

The idea of us going to Mars, it's impossible. We will never get there. Okay. Uh there's no evidence that we have the technology to get to the moon.
Read it in the transcript, in context →

He keeps saying this

Restated in 9 videos as AI and space travel are hype that won't deliver

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Predictive History

An independent scorecard of every forward-looking claim Professor Jiang Xueqin made on the @PredictiveHistory YouTube channel. Not affiliated with the channel.

Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

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How calls are found and checked

Each transcript was read in full by an AI model to pull out predictions, with the exact quote and timestamp. Each one was then checked with web search against events up to the update date, with sources linked.

How the hit rate works

Spot a mistake? Report it. Hit rate = (came true + ½ partly) ÷ resolved calls. Claims that were already underway when he made them are left out. Open calls haven't reached a verdict; Unresolvable ones are too vague ever to check. Verdicts are AI-assisted and may contain errors.