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Turkey will collapse as a nation-state once Erdogan is gone.

Said Aug 1, 2025 in Geo-Strategy Update #7: When Eschatologies Converge @ 17:46

Timeline No deadline given

Timeframe after Erdogan leaves powerSaid again 8×

Verdict Open

Depends on Erdogan leaving power, which hadn't happened as of October 2026.

What he said

Once he's gone, then all these ethnic tensions, these geopolitical tensions, these economic tensions that exist in Turkey will explode and it will overwhelm Turkey, thus causing it to collapse um as a nation state.
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He keeps saying this

Restated in 6 videos as Putin will restore an Orthodox empire and Constantinople

More from this video

Iran & Middle East

The US and Israel will use hybrid warfare and economic sabotage (e.g. targeting Iran's water infrastructure), after which Iran will close the Strait of Hormuz, compelling an American ground invasion that the US will lose, over the next few months.

Nothing of the sort happened from August to November 2025: no water-infrastructure sabotage campaign, no Hormuz closure, no ground invasion. Hormuz was blocked only in the war that began 28 Feb 2026, and no invasion has followed.

The US will launch a ground invasion of IranGeo-Strategy Update #7: When Eschatologies Converge @ 2:51
Didn't happen
Resolved Nov 2025said Aug 2025
Israel

Israel will destroy the Dome of the Rock to build the third temple, causing a global explosion of antisemitism and compelling Jews to return to Israel; the Greater Israel project becomes the Empire of Israel after the US leaves the Middle East.

As of 2026-10-15 the Al-Aqsa Mosque and Dome of the Rock stand intact; Temple Mount tensions continue (e.g. large Jewish ascents on Tisha B'Av 2026) but there is no move to demolish them or build a Third Temple. The deadline is 2035.

Al-Aqsa will be destroyed for a Third TempleGeo-Strategy Update #7: When Eschatologies Converge @ 36:04
Open
Closes Aug 2035in 3211 days
Religion

Revolutions and civil conflict will sweep the Islamic world, with people begging for the Mahdi, and Putin will reconcile the Orthodox and Islamic worlds.

Window to 2035. The 2026 US-Israel war with Iran caused regional upheaval, but no wave of revolutions with mass Mahdist movements, and no Putin-led Orthodox-Islamic reconciliation, has been established.

Putin will restore an Orthodox empire and ConstantinopleGeo-Strategy Update #7: When Eschatologies Converge @ 36:34
Open
Closes Aug 2035in 3211 days
War & WWIII

A major Middle East conflict (World War III) will occur in which neither America nor China is involved, and the Antichrist figure emerges (eschatological convergence points).

The window runs to 2035. A major Middle East war did break out in Feb 2026, but the US is a main belligerent, which contradicts 'neither America nor China involved'. The eschatological parts cannot be checked.

The world unites against Israel in an end-times warGeo-Strategy Update #7: When Eschatologies Converge @ 30:42
Open
Closes Aug 2035in 3211 days
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Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

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