Iran & Middle EastCame true

The US will attack Iran soon (said as the class goes on a month-long break, Jan 2026).

Timeline Resolved 30 days after he said it, within his own window

Timeframe within weeksWindow 31 daysSaid again 12×

Verdict Came true

The US and Israel opened large-scale strikes on Iran (Operation Epic Fury, which killed Khamenei) on 2026-02-28, about a month after the prediction and before the 2026-03-01 deadline.

What he said

America is about to attack Iran Iran soon.
Read it in the transcript, in context →

He keeps saying this

Restated in 11 videos as The US will go to war with Iran

More from this video

Predictive History

An independent scorecard of every forward-looking claim Professor Jiang Xueqin made on the @PredictiveHistory YouTube channel. Not affiliated with the channel.

Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

About · Method · Contact · Videos · Data

How calls are found and checked

Each transcript was read in full by an AI model to pull out predictions, with the exact quote and timestamp. Each one was then checked with web search against events up to the update date, with sources linked.

How the hit rate works

Spot a mistake? Report it. Hit rate = (came true + ½ partly) ÷ resolved calls. Claims that were already underway when he made them are left out. Open calls haven't reached a verdict; Unresolvable ones are too vague ever to check. Verdicts are AI-assisted and may contain errors.