Trump will almost certainly win the November 2024 election.
Trump won the Nov 5, 2024 election with 312 electoral votes and the popular vote.
The escalation part came true: Trump bombed Iranian nuclear sites on 22 Jun 2025 and launched a full US-Israel war on Iran on 28 Feb 2026. That war drew in Gulf states, the Houthis, Hezbollah and Pakistani troops, but as of Oct 2026 it has not become a Third World War between great powers.
Restated in 11 videos as The US will go to war with Iran
Trump won the Nov 5, 2024 election with 312 electoral votes and the popular vote.