Home/US politics/Trump will win the 2024 election
US politicsCame true

Trump will win the November 2024 presidential election.

Said May 17, 2024 in Geo-Strategy #5: Why Trump Will Win (And Pick Nikki Haley as VP) @ 28:48

Timeline Resolved 1 days after his deadline

Timeframe November 2024Window 6 monthsSaid again 4×

Verdict Came true

Trump won the Nov 5, 2024 election with 312 electoral votes and the popular vote.

en.wikipedia.org

What he said

so the conclusion is that given um the way the situation in the United States it seems very likely Trump will win in 2024
Read it in the transcript, in context →

He keeps saying this

Restated in 5 videos as Trump will win the 2024 election

More from this video

Predictive History

An independent scorecard of every forward-looking claim Professor Jiang Xueqin made on the @PredictiveHistory YouTube channel. Not affiliated with the channel.

Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

About · Method · Contact · Videos · Data

How calls are found and checked

Each transcript was read in full by an AI model to pull out predictions, with the exact quote and timestamp. Each one was then checked with web search against events up to the update date, with sources linked.

How the hit rate works

Spot a mistake? Report it. Hit rate = (came true + ½ partly) ÷ resolved calls. Claims that were already underway when he made them are left out. Open calls haven't reached a verdict; Unresolvable ones are too vague ever to check. Verdicts are AI-assisted and may contain errors.