War & WWIIIOpen

Nuclear weapons will not be used in this war by Israel or the US.

Timeline Closes in 17 months

Timeframe during this warWindow 2.0 yearsSaid again 5×

Verdict Open

No nuclear weapons have been used by Israel or the US in the Iran war as of Oct 2026, so the claim is holding. The war is ongoing and the deadline is 2028.

What he said

I am 100% certain that nuclear weapons will not be used at this time in this war.
Read it in the transcript, in context →

He keeps saying this

Restated in 6 videos as Nuclear weapons will not be used

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Predictive History

An independent scorecard of every forward-looking claim Professor Jiang Xueqin made on the @PredictiveHistory YouTube channel. Not affiliated with the channel.

Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

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Each transcript was read in full by an AI model to pull out predictions, with the exact quote and timestamp. Each one was then checked with web search against events up to the update date, with sources linked.

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Spot a mistake? Report it. Hit rate = (came true + ½ partly) ÷ resolved calls. Claims that were already underway when he made them are left out. Open calls haven't reached a verdict; Unresolvable ones are too vague ever to check. Verdicts are AI-assisted and may contain errors.