If Trump returns to office there is a strong likelihood the US will go to war with Iran.
In Trump's second term the US struck Iran on 22 June 2025 and went to full war with Iran from 28 Feb 2026.
The 28 Feb 2026 air campaign killed Supreme Leader Khamenei and many officials, but it did not force Iran to capitulate or collapse. The war dragged on through a failed ceasefire and was still unresolved in Oct 2026. Whether this was because of Iran's mountainous terrain is unproven.
Restated in 21 videos as America loses a war with Iran
In Trump's second term the US struck Iran on 22 June 2025 and went to full war with Iran from 28 Feb 2026.
The US military carried out the June 2025 strikes and the 2026 air and naval war (Operation Epic Fury) without any institutional refusal. His stated cause, 'hubris' from the Iraq war, cannot be checked.
'Headed towards disaster' is a value judgment with no timeframe or measurable outcome.