US politicsCame true

Trump will win the November 2024 presidential election.

Timeline Resolved 1 days after his deadline

Timeframe November 2024Window 6 monthsSaid again 4×

Verdict Came true

Trump won the Nov 5, 2024 election with 312 electoral votes and the popular vote.

What he said

first is that Trump will win uh in November
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He keeps saying this

Restated in 5 videos as Trump will win the 2024 election

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War & WWIII

The United States will lose the war with Iran, forever changing the global order.

The US-Israel war on Iran began 28 Feb 2026, went through a Pakistan-brokered ceasefire (8 Apr) and the Islamabad Memorandum (17 Jun), collapsed 8 Jul, and is still unresolved in Oct 2026, with indirect talks via Qatar. The US has not achieved its goals of regime change or zero enrichment, and Iran has not been defeated. Neither side has clearly won or lost.

Open
Said May 10, 2024no deadline
Predictive History

An independent scorecard of every forward-looking claim Professor Jiang Xueqin made on the @PredictiveHistory YouTube channel. Not affiliated with the channel.

Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

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Each transcript was read in full by an AI model to pull out predictions, with the exact quote and timestamp. Each one was then checked with web search against events up to the update date, with sources linked.

How the hit rate works

Spot a mistake? Report it. Hit rate = (came true + ½ partly) ÷ resolved calls. Claims that were already underway when he made them are left out. Open calls haven't reached a verdict; Unresolvable ones are too vague ever to check. Verdicts are AI-assisted and may contain errors.