Recurring call · Iran & Middle East

The Gulf states will be dragged in and collapse

Since March 2026 he predicts the GCC states, including Dubai and Saudi Arabia, will be drawn into the war and collapse or be split between Iran and Israel.

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83%

hit rate on 3 resolved

Mar 2026 → Aug 2026

first and latest time

Times said12Resolved3Scorecard

Moving the goalposts?

When he said it (left to right) against the deadline he gave (bottom to top). A rising path means the date keeps getting pushed back.

2027202820292030today

Every time he said it

Aug 162026

Came trueDeadline Aug 2027

Saudi Arabia will move against the Houthis, likely backed by Israel.

Aug 162026

OpenDeadline Aug 2028

The GCC will be destroyed very quickly and repopulated with Indians.

Aug 162026

OpenDeadline Aug 2028

American universities in the GCC will not survive.

Jul 182026

Came true

The Houthis will close the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, forcing Saudi Arabia into war with the Houthis.

⋯ 2 months earlier

May 72026

Open

The Middle East conflict will only get worse, with Iran destroying the GCC and possibly Turkey entering the war, advancing Israel's Greater Israel project.

Apr 92026

Open

GCC states, being closely tied to the West, are much more likely to fall or collapse than isolated Iran.

Mar 262026

Open

The GCC will cease to be a major geopolitical factor, split between Qatar/Oman joining Iran and Saudi/UAE joining Israel, and many GCC states will be destroyed.

Mar 192026

Partly

Saudi Arabia may declare war on Iran, triggering its mutual defense pact with Pakistan and opening an eastern front against Iran.

Mar 122026

OpenDeadline Mar 2030

The Gulf Cooperation Council will effectively cease to exist, absorbed by Israel's Greater Israel project.

Mar 122026

OpenDeadline Mar 2030

Turkey and Saudi Arabia will enter the war and suffer greatly.

Mar 32026

Open

Dubai is finished as a safe wealthy hub in the long term and will likely go bankrupt.

Mar 32026

Open

Iran's regime will be the first to fall, Dubai will go bankrupt, and eventually the whole GCC including Saudi Arabia will collapse.