Iran & Middle EastCame true

Saudi Arabia will move against the Houthis, likely backed by Israel.

Timeline Resolved 23 days after he said it, within his own window

Timeframe unspecifiedWindow 12 monthsSaid again 11×

Verdict Came true

Saudi Arabia did move against the Houthis: it carried out more than 100 airstrikes in Yemen in early September 2026 and backed the Yemeni government's full-scale counteroffensive launched from Saudi Arabia on Oct 4. No Israeli backing has been reported.

What he said

Saudi Arabia sees the Houthis as an ex ext exentious threat and they will they will move against Houthies.
Read it in the transcript, in context →

He keeps saying this

Restated in 8 videos as The Gulf states will be dragged in and collapse

More from this video

Iran & Middle East

American universities in the GCC will not survive.

I could not verify whether any American branch campus in the GCC closed because of the war. The Education City page shows Georgetown and CMU renewed their Qatar partnerships in 2025 for 10 years, while Texas A&M Qatar's closure by 2028 was decided in Feb 2024, before this video, citing regional instability. The deadline is 2028.

Open
Closes Aug 2028in 670 days
China & Taiwan

US-China relations will turn around with a compromise after Xi's September 24 visit.

Xi's Sept 23-25, 2026 state visit to Washington was warm, with a planeside welcome and state dinner, and both sides planned two more meetings in 2026. But AP reported no major breakthroughs on trade or AI, and he himself said on Sept 25 that his grand bargain prediction looked wrong.

Partly
Resolved Sep 2026said Aug 2026
Predictive History

An independent scorecard of every forward-looking claim Professor Jiang Xueqin made on the @PredictiveHistory YouTube channel. Not affiliated with the channel.

Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

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Each transcript was read in full by an AI model to pull out predictions, with the exact quote and timestamp. Each one was then checked with web search against events up to the update date, with sources linked.

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Spot a mistake? Report it. Hit rate = (came true + ½ partly) ÷ resolved calls. Claims that were already underway when he made them are left out. Open calls haven't reached a verdict; Unresolvable ones are too vague ever to check. Verdicts are AI-assisted and may contain errors.