War & WWIIIOpen

The Middle East war will expand to engulf the entire world and cannot be ended by negotiation until it runs its course.

Timeline No deadline given

Timeframe unspecifiedSaid again 26×

Verdict Open

The Middle East war has spread regionally to Israel, Lebanon, the Gulf states, Yemen and Iraq, Pakistani troops have deployed to Saudi Arabia, and the world has suffered an energy shock. Negotiated truces in April and June 2026 collapsed. But the war has not engulfed the whole world.

What he said

This war in the Middle East is a hurricane that will engulf the entire world.
Read it in the transcript, in context →

He keeps saying this

Restated in 18 videos as The Iran war will never end in peace

More from this video

War & WWIII

If the US attacks Iran, both Russia and China will be forced to intervene in some capacity.

The US attacked Iran in Jun 2025 and again from Feb 2026. Russia and China responded diplomatically: they condemned the strikes, called UN Security Council meetings, vetoed a Hormuz resolution, and China co-proposed a peace plan. The US alleges they shared intelligence and satellite imagery. Neither intervened militarily, and Trump said in Jul 2026 that both pledged not to arm Iran.

Partly
Said Feb 18, 2025no deadline
Israel

The Middle East conflict involving Israel, Gaza, Lebanon and Syria will spread and escalate, possibly becoming the start of World War III.

Escalation happened: the June 2025 Israel-Iran 12-day war with US strikes, then the US-Israel war on Iran from 2026-02-28, with Iranian strikes on Gulf states, still unresolved in Oct 2026. No world war has followed, so the 'beginning of WWIII' part is unconfirmed.

Partly
Said Feb 18, 2025no deadline
Economy & markets

The US will launch or escalate trade wars against Canada, Mexico and very possibly the European Union soon.

US tariffs on Canada and Mexico took effect on March 4, 2025 after being announced on Feb 1. The 25% steel/aluminum tariffs (March 12) and the 'Liberation Day' tariffs on the EU (April 2, 2025) followed, and the EU prepared retaliation before the July 2025 deal. All of this fell within 2025.

Came true
Resolved Apr 2025said Feb 2025
Predictive History

An independent scorecard of every forward-looking claim Professor Jiang Xueqin made on the @PredictiveHistory YouTube channel. Not affiliated with the channel.

Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

About · Method · Contact · Videos · Data

How calls are found and checked

Each transcript was read in full by an AI model to pull out predictions, with the exact quote and timestamp. Each one was then checked with web search against events up to the update date, with sources linked.

How the hit rate works

Spot a mistake? Report it. Hit rate = (came true + ½ partly) ÷ resolved calls. Claims that were already underway when he made them are left out. Open calls haven't reached a verdict; Unresolvable ones are too vague ever to check. Verdicts are AI-assisted and may contain errors.