China & TaiwanOpen

The coming East Asian conflict will involve Japan and South Korea rather than being a US-China war over the Taiwan Strait.

Timeline No deadline given

Timeframe unspecified (eventually)Said again 13×

Verdict Open

As of Oct 2026 there has been no East Asian war. There are ongoing China-Japan frictions (Japanese jet scrambles, Senkaku coast guard incidents) and North Korean missile launches, but no conflict involving Japan or South Korea has broken out.

What he said

I don't think, uh, the conflict will be between the United States and China. I think it will involve Japan and South Korea. Okay? It won't be over the Taiwan Strait.
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Restated in 12 videos as War will break out in East Asia

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Came true
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Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

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