US politicsUnresolvable

Texas and the religious South will prosper; California, New York and Boston are finished; Christian nationalism is the future of the US.

Timeline Closes in 19.8 years

Timeframe long termWindow 20.0 yearsSaid again 8×

Verdict Unresolvable

'Prosper', 'finished' and 'Christian nationalism is the future' are too vague and long-range to check.

What he said

I'll bet all my money on Texas, okay?
Read it in the transcript, in context →

He keeps saying this

Restated in 6 videos as Christian nationalists will win and remake America

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Predictive History

An independent scorecard of every forward-looking claim Professor Jiang Xueqin made on the @PredictiveHistory YouTube channel. Not affiliated with the channel.

Updated 2026-10-16 · 757 calls from 180 transcripts.

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How calls are found and checked

Each transcript was read in full by an AI model to pull out predictions, with the exact quote and timestamp. Each one was then checked with web search against events up to the update date, with sources linked.

How the hit rate works

Spot a mistake? Report it. Hit rate = (came true + ½ partly) ÷ resolved calls. Claims that were already underway when he made them are left out. Open calls haven't reached a verdict; Unresolvable ones are too vague ever to check. Verdicts are AI-assisted and may contain errors.