Spain may beat Argentina in the 2026 World Cup final (his intuition, not betting advice).
Spain beat Argentina 1-0 after extra time (Ferran Torres, 106') in the World Cup final at MetLife Stadium on 2026-07-19.
'America will become a Christian nation' has no date or clear criteria to check against.
Restated in 6 videos as Christian nationalists will win and remake America
Spain beat Argentina 1-0 after extra time (Ferran Torres, 106') in the World Cup final at MetLife Stadium on 2026-07-19.
The deadline is ~2031. As of October 2026 Milei is still president and Messi has announced no political ambitions. No early signs of 'grooming' beyond media speculation.
As of 2026-10-15 the Falklands remain British. Milei revived the sovereignty claim in early September 2026 and Trump said the US stance was 'under review', but the US has not formally backed Argentina and the UK reasserted its 'unshakeable' commitment.
Canada launched its first Defence Industrial Strategy (domestic munitions production, a nitrocellulose plant) in Feb 2026, before the video. Nothing indicates wartime production or general mobilization.
The midterms on Nov 3, 2026 haven't happened yet. They have not been cancelled, and lawsuits over Trump's election orders are ongoing.
The midterms on Nov 3, 2026 haven't happened yet. As of mid-October no races had been cancelled.
The 2028 election is still ahead. Trump keeps alternating between hinting at a third term and saying the law bars it (Aug 2026: 'the law is very strong').
After the US captured Maduro on Jan 3, 2026, Delcy Rodríguez stayed on as interim president. Armed groups and colectivos are active, but no guerrilla war against US administrators had been reported as of October 2026.
As of Oct 2026 there has been no AI bubble burst, no government stake in OpenAI and no nationalization of data centers; the White House ruled out a bailout in Nov 2025.
The US fuel blockade and sanctions continued through September 2026, and warships docked at Guantánamo on Sep 1. Talks have stalled, but there has been no invasion. Prediction markets put the odds of a US-Cuba military clash in 2026 at about 13% in September.
I found no report that Vance has left office as of October 2026, but my searches found little recent news on him at all. The deadline is the end of 2027.
The war is ongoing as of Oct 2026, about 7.5 months after it began on Feb 28. Whether it lasts 10 to 20 years cannot be judged until about 2036.
The infrastructure part was already underway: the US hit bridges, a railway station and power infrastructure in Hormozgan on Jul 14-17, 2026, just before this video. No US ground forces have entered Iran from Iraq or Balochistan as of Oct 15. The deadline is 2026-12-31.
Syria has not entered the war against Hezbollah as of Oct 2026. It refused a US proposal to send troops in March and has only closed smuggling tunnels, even after Trump said on Jun 16 that Syria 'should do the job'.
By Sep 10, 2026 the Houthis had seized Yemen's Red Sea coast, Perim and the Hanish Islands, and they declared a blockade on Saudi shipping through Bab al-Mandab. Saudi Arabia carried out more than 100 airstrikes in early September and backed a full Yemeni government counteroffensive from Oct 4. The closure targeted specific vessels rather than all traffic, and there are no Saudi ground troops.
There are early signs: Ukraine struck Iran-Russia supply ships and a missile boat in the Caspian on July 25, 2026, and Iranian drones hit Nakhchivan (Azerbaijan) in March. There is no Azerbaijan-Armenia war and no Central Asia fighting, and Iran has not been cut off from Russia or China. Deadline July 2027.
The war has spread to Yemen/Saudi Arabia and the Caspian but not to most of the world. Georgia and Armenia have not been drawn in as of Oct 2026.
North Korea fired ballistic missiles in Sept 2026 and threatened stronger responses to US drills, but no new US front has opened in the Asia-Pacific.
Brent rose from a ~$84 July average to about $100-103 in early October 2026 (up ~57% year on year), with a spike to $105 on 2026-07-23. That is a sizeable rise but not clearly 'skyrocketing'. The deadline (2026-12-31) is still open.
There has been no Central Asia conflict or terror wave on infrastructure; the 2026 Global Terrorism Index scored Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Turkmenistan at zero. A July 19, 2026 drone strike on tankers at the CPC terminal was tied to the Ukraine war. Deadline July 2028.
The Knesset election is set for 2026-10-27, after the check date. The latest polls (13 Oct 2026, i24) show Likud as the largest party but the coalition bloc short of 61 seats (57), so the outcome is uncertain.
This is open-ended. There has been no Chinese military action against Taiwan as of Oct 2026.
Since July 2026 Iran has hit US and allied installations in Bahrain and Kuwait and attacked many oil and LNG tankers in Hormuz. In September the US sent Patriots to Saudi Arabia and Qatar to protect energy facilities. I found no clear post-video campaign aimed at UAE, Kuwaiti or Bahraini energy facilities specifically.